TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Kigali 2: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Zdenek Kolar

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zdenek Kolarof Oriol Roca Batalla, Zdenek Kolar
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,245 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Oriol Roca Batalla1c3,613$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.282,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90b5…4e3dbacked Oriol Roca Batalla1c2,831$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.361361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+33.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Oriol Roca Batalla20c2,690$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.821,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54c4…1efcbacked Oriol Roca Batalla30c1,702$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.122040%8 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Zdenek Kolar72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.0146553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Oriol Roca Batalla9c636.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Zdenek Kolar71c616.31$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.44,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Oriol Roca Batalla36c428.14$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.681,98046.2%915 W · 1,065 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Zdenek Kolar71c420.77$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9331643%136 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cee…3f91backed Oriol Roca Batalla14c347.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509824.5%24 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0a…9104backed Zdenek Kolar69c333.99$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.543161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Oriol Roca Batalla17c296.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7896035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Oriol Roca Batalla29c250.16$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8335132.2%113 W · 238 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Zdenek Kolar66c227.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.292,44051.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L+9.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Zdenek Kolar71c211.83$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.831,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Zdenek Kolar64c172.86$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8695742.1%403 W · 554 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Oriol Roca Batalla13c171.73$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.236,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Oriol Roca Batalla35c168.4$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.941,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f49…b482backed Oriol Roca Batalla37c155.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Oriol Roca Batalla12c140$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.522,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Oriol Roca Batalla36c138.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Oriol Roca Batalla27c123.17$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.623,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Oriol Roca Batalla11c116.96$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.056,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe16…d380backed Oriol Roca Batalla47c107.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4739…a1c1backed Oriol Roca Batalla24c105.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522642%95 W · 131 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Oriol Roca Batalla14c104.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1572132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Zdenek Kolar66c100.01$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.282,77653.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L+69.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Zdenek Kolar65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3577967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Oriol Roca Batalla14c93.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.193,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Zdenek Kolar62c93$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9354434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Oriol Roca Batalla13c90.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.821,38116.4%227 W · 1,154 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Zdenek Kolar76c85.42$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.52,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Oriol Roca Batalla13c85.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.964,65048.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x613f…6463backed Oriol Roca Batalla17c78.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.255937.3%22 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed Zdenek Kolar50c73.68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8417462.6%109 W · 65 L+34.2wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+35.2%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x9ff1…4766backed Oriol Roca Batalla27c72.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016762.3%104 W · 63 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Oriol Roca Batalla31c68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0899255.9%555 W · 437 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Zdenek Kolar65c54$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.939872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5947…8ffbbacked Zdenek Kolar73c53.6$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc59f…f632backed Zdenek Kolar64c53.13$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.148361.4%51 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Oriol Roca Batalla30c47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.337,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Zdenek Kolar64c41$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7618233.5%61 W · 121 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8614…717abacked Zdenek Kolar77c32.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.474269%29 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oriol Roca Batalla36c32.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.631,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Zdenek Kolar63c28.57$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5758067.8%393 W · 187 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Zdenek Kolar70c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.427664.1%177 W · 99 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Zdenek Kolar79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.251,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe26a…bb60backed Zdenek Kolar69c24.57$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.62560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81c6…dcd0backed Zdenek Kolar76c21.05$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e50…8c97backed Zdenek Kolar64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.632860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.