TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Red Bull Bragantino vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,337
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,554

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,337 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c12,643$5,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,997.518,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under29c4,913$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.4317440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over77c4,467$3,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.813373.7%98 W · 35 L+22.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+30.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Under2c4,167$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003129%9 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+287.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over60c3,293$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.124665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under34c3,220$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.984626.1%12 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under26c3,052$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8008928.1%25 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over68c2,944$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.1821765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c2,517$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.575,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under43c2,330$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.178833%29 W · 59 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under42c2,273$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.6312156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over71c1,407$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.8515768.2%107 W · 50 L+21.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under15c1,292$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.5253836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under44c1,282$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.355540%22 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under4c1,251$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.628743.7%38 W · 49 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+112%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under49c1,212$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.4620036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea8…b821backed Under20c1,069$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2106225.8%16 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+118.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Under13c850.62$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9412738.6%49 W · 78 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Under37c768.07$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.813435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over58c732.15$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.3811640.5%47 W · 69 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under35c650.14$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.358755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over40c622.18$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.313360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cb…1688backed Over65c616$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.61283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+48.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over55c531.27$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.148547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under33c449.5$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.872,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under9c429.27$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.181,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Over59c424$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.147651.3%39 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x45bb…4927backed Over54c415.33$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.92580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+84.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over64c328.43$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7329047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over62c297.48$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.291,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over65c296.88$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3520665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2276…a73abacked Under7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-57.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under48c272.93$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2695155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0011…4333backed Over68c268.91$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.224965.3%32 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over48c234.67$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.894953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c231.48$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.851,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over57c210.53$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5376951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Under40c201.69$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9817051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under29c191.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.681915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-64.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Over58c173$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3919053.2%101 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under44c167.2$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6172058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46ca…ac4cbacked Under61c164.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabd9…dc3abacked Under13c150.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.582552%13 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+392.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under36c149.92$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9711025.5%28 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over62c130.04$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4416864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over56c121.43$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4319050.5%96 W · 94 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc81…e072backed Over62c119.57$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-46.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe748…c645backed Under44c108.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.941361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+40.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under10c104.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1635046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde05…1ababacked Over50c94.94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-33.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4019…5506backed Over65c92.06$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.22933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+43.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under57c87.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9945746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Over41c82.67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.172227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5a…4063backed Over60c81.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.265100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under28c76.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2141262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d40…ba95backed Over65c53.25$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.551747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.549341%202 W · 291 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfd1…2647backed Over25c49.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.495236.5%19 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under55c48.75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7319349.2%95 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over53c43.2$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1923044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under54c40.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2215057.3%86 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under60c38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.931163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under75c37.93$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.452766.7%18 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over61c37.21$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4750643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under51c36.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5814264.1%91 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e9…99e6backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.092339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0910044%44 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over60c30.72$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.177262.5%45 W · 27 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Over61c27.73$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7312065%78 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over51c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.236040%24 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b6…886ebacked Under57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under54c26.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.29056.7%51 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90e6…c339backed Over64c25.41$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd97…ae50backed Under56c25.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.975164.7%33 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over63c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3289645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfec…4c6cbacked Over60c24.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+973.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e6b…3a4cbacked Over64c21.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Over57c21.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.059446.8%44 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over65c15.68$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5214540%58 W · 87 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked Over64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.632365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.354173.2%30 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.