South American Leagues · resolved market
Red Bull Bragantino vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff471fac91b1f59af6838cd12a66ddf53b60bccffecca0bd4d22b182495d791a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 44c | 37,665$16,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,092.55 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Over | 52c | 17,232$8,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,960.8 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 14,086$8,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,403.22 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 56c | 12,749$7,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,139.46 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 49c | 7,006$3,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,545.29 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 56c | 6,500$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640.2 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 55c | 5,326$2,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.49 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 3,154$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.08 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 2,072$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.61 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 1,167$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.64 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 980.17$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.69 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 56c | 887.9$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.22 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Under | 51c | 666$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.34 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 63c | 319.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.4 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 59c | 285.13$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.52 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 48c | 256$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.12 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 57c | 226$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 58c | 224.04$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.51 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 56c | 208.39$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.7 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 48c | 184.66$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.02 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 60c | 165$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.77 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Over | 56c | 159.52$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 56c | 154$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Under | 48c | 138.45$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 56c | 131.43$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 56c | 127.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.46 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 57c | 114.63$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 56c | 86.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 56c | 74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 56c | 66.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over | 56c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8955…3a83backed Under | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 51c | 56.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 56c | 49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 48c | 44.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 48c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa250…b806backed Under | 50c | 42.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 48c | 39.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Under | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Over | 53c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 57c | 25.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 56c | 25.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 63c | 24.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5this page
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Grêmio FBPA: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Grêmio FBPA: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Grêmio FBPA: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Grêmio FBPA: Grêmio FBPA O/U 0.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 0.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 5.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Grêmio FBPA: Red Bull Bragantino O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)Grêmio FBPA won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-2.5)Grêmio FBPA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.