Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dd0ee7f05527fedef9dbe5f3899087b5f82ce6f3243480b150713f7fc1321a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 11,256$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.17 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked No | 0c | 6,491$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…9818backed Yes | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 30c | 2,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.99 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 59c | 1,960$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.08 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 1,780$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.44 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 33c | 1,631$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.85 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 30c | 968.8$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.04 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 41c | 778.04$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.05 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 22c | 621.92$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.07 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 29c | 620.95$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.87 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 39c | 513.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.59 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb9…fd83backed Yes | 76c | 356.88$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 30c | 268.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.12 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 20c | 233.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed Yes | 30c | 187.81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.5 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 40c | 180$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Yes | 36c | 172.88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f60…9c5cbacked Yes | 72c | 150.81$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Yes | 39c | 130$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 124.37$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.09 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Yes | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…2882backed Yes | 41c | 99.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked No | 70c | 70.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 32c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 75c | 60.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x120a…ed97backed No | 48c | 59.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Yes | 37c | 54.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 71c | 51.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 49.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 37c | 48.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…4985backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…6b7bbacked No | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 58c | 39.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 38c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Yes | 50c | 35.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 38c | 31.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 71c | 30.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1c6ebacked No | 70c | 28.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a28…eff6backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…3533backed Yes | 79c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 69c | 23.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed No | 54c | 21.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…85e2backed No | 69c | 20.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…7250backed Yes | 77c | 19.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x995a…423bbacked Yes | 71c | 16.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. Hannover 96 end in a draw?No won
- Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.