TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-02-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,584
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,215

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,584 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xada5…db70backed Yes61c8,523$5,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,161.854032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No57c5,109$2,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,193.9947850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No41c3,881$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,289.7812055%66 W · 54 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No38c3,581$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,230.339431.9%30 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Yes64c2,631$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.6114060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes64c2,256$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.898844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes59c2,200$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29819345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yes59c1,078$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6363259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes65c1,027$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.751442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No17c1,006$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.8222652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No37c989.7$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.6823551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No40c903.4$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.9743748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes75c691.6$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.654553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No42c628.89$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.898139.5%32 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes12c428.95$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.930536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked No63c407.14$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.941788.2%15 W · 2 L+5.0wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+48.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed Yes60c400$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2391540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes58c400$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2333537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No42c350$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20310448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Yes59c336.52$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No40c328.83$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.737549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No62c327.95$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8428659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes56c275.97$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15570%0 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ae3…8753backed Yes60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.17435.1%26 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes75c218.81$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.4146644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No41c212$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0810160.4%61 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3ac…b988backed Yes58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206746.3%31 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe52…99febacked Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No63c196.87$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3714047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c1d…d05ebacked Yes42c194.69$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb9d…c3eebacked Yes59c189.98$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.092040%8 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2583…30d5backed Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No39c135$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.356460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick23cpaid+127.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed No40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes60c116.95$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.172356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No39c115$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.155156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Yes61c105$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.983878.9%30 W · 8 L+8.8wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+94.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Yes59c103.9$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.35250%26 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No38c103.03$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7810857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked No35c103$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.952152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070%0 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes58c99.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1c3…a583backed Yes70c92.57$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.37per pick52cpaid+127%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No39c90$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.93458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No39c90$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.94355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010357.3%59 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes21c80$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.835651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf965…9e79backed No56c77.56$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No23c75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0414843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes57c65.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.61616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No41c62.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.683540%14 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+52.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.63658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.64459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.64050%20 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.63652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.63956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.63852.6%20 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.63751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No39c57.12$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.845257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb71…434dbacked Yes59c51.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.43672.2%26 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9906…fbcbbacked Yes59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.53253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.54656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked No39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.53458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Yes60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302250%11 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+68.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked No39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.53262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No41c47.56$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.216162.3%38 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x556c…5b77backed No23c45.23$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.77540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked No39c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.42860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5555…d3d0backed Yes35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1440%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee81…328cbacked No39c38.51$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8650…58fdbacked Yes59c34.81$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No39c33.79$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7433444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes59c33.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.887048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c54…99bebacked Yes60c33.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011351.3%58 W · 55 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No41c33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3632453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.32454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed No39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.33357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Yes42c29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.181723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-58.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9970…d036backed Yes60c28.18$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Yes71c28.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No39c26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8616858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cb9…f0b8backed No78c25.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee2…0c91backed No78c25.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006b…2d0dbacked No78c25.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fdf…9305backed No78c25.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb17d…a597backed No78c25.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1a7…34d6backed Yes80c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2b4…01fdbacked Yes59c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.75850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe579…ba5ebacked Yes59c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.861080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+84%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x98b7…4590backed Yes60c24.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes68c22.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4411063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked No45c22.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.47757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.