Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Wichita State Shockers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c022eb9a7f85bbdaaa9c7b2d913fbf8a6bbd9d48aa320313189b92d2f0e387c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wichita State Shockersof Wichita State Shockers, Tulsa Golden Hurricane
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Wichita State Shockers | 52c | 1,375$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.45 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 47c | 1,007$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.08 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 47c | 327.18$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.78 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 49c | 326$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Wichita State Shockers | 51c | 226.12$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.8 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wichita State Shockers | 36c | 128.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.01 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9d…c3eebacked Wichita State Shockers | 53c | 119.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 49c | 86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Wichita State Shockers | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Wichita State Shockers | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…3851backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wichita State Shockers (-1.5)this page
- Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Wichita State ShockersWichita State Shockers won
- Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 150.5Over won
- Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 152.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.