Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Indiana Hoosiers vs. USC Trojans: O/U 152.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3019030c5b0a05389efb45d0178aa791ef02432ebd81a6fcba2cf06da57a32a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 48c | 87,812$42,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,467.42 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 51c | 36,500$18,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,035 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 25,770$13,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,383.47 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Under | 51c | 5,807$2,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.27 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under | 51c | 3,966$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.78 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 48c | 3,760$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.32 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 46c | 3,219$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.1 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 49c | 3,000$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.8 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 56c | 2,812$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.65 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 2,710$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.51 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 56c | 2,293$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.89 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 49c | 2,067$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.71 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Over | 50c | 1,950$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Over | 52c | 1,500$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.31 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 1,226$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 50c | 799.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 539.48$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.72 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 49c | 433.29$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.48 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 45c | 399.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 50c | 338.9$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.71 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Under | 46c | 324.44$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 49c | 266.78$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.72 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Over | 57c | 246.3$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.57 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 51c | 196.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 54c | 166.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.44 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Under | 47c | 158.33$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.42 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 56c | 147.35$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 24c | 132.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.15 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 130.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 55c | 98.08$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 52c | 81.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ea…e0eebacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 48c | 57.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 52c | 46.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Over | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 51c | 26.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. USC Trojans: O/U 152.5this page
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. USC TrojansUSC Trojans won
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-1.5)USC Trojans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.