Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Mercyhurst Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c2fcfcd7ce08237670318effb4029e2ca8aaa6ff3e984ec9230f93feb231cfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mercyhurst Lakersof St. Francis (PA) Red Flash, Mercyhurst Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 68c | 1,254$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.09 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 28c | 968.19$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.45 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 40c | 887.08$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.41 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 22c | 548.24$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 75c | 514.24$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.44 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 72c | 474.77$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 22c | 384.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.59 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 30c | 370$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.85 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 19c | 359.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 79c | 354.53$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.53 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 22c | 328.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 19c | 279$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…ced6backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 76c | 254.61$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 67c | 214.53$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 18c | 202.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 79c | 131.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 28c | 127.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 42c | 121$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 22c | 117.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 76c | 108.34$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 24c | 106.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 58c | 96.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 40c | 91.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3422…cd99backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 68c | 87.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad3…9524backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 51c | 66.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 79c | 64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…c908backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 20c | 54.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 38c | 52.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 25c | 40.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 39c | 33.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 69c | 19.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 72c | 16.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…ffb1backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 80c | 14.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3392…73a3backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 80c | 14.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64be…ad47backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 79cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…a0aabacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 80c | 12.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Mercyhurst Lakersthis page
- Spread: Mercyhurst Lakers (-8.5)Mercyhurst Lakers won
- St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 136.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.