Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Long Beach State Beach vs. California-San Diego Tritons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47e57b19ccca9e7929b8772b9bcd8c50eebc892f4a96bb4e7e33d97e88d33229
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- California-San Diego Tritonsof Long Beach State Beach, California-San Diego Tritons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a0a…24a9backed Long Beach State Beach | 36c | 15,979$5,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,825.28 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed California-San Diego Tritons | 59c | 8,011$4,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,274.13 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked California-San Diego Tritons | 65c | 7,321$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,551.2 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb729…4e2ebacked Long Beach State Beach | 30c | 6,187$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.2 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed California-San Diego Tritons | 67c | 5,135$3,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.71 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed California-San Diego Tritons | 68c | 5,015$3,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.37 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed California-San Diego Tritons | 60c | 4,151$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.12 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Long Beach State Beach | 32c | 3,050$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976 | 105 | 11.4%12 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Long Beach State Beach | 18c | 2,875$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.56 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 52c | 2,591$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.99 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Long Beach State Beach | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Long Beach State Beach | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 69c | 1,343$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.87 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed California-San Diego Tritons | 65c | 1,225$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.64 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…b6a9backed Long Beach State Beach | 29c | 1,116$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed California-San Diego Tritons | 62c | 1,025$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.5 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…910abacked Long Beach State Beach | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 61c | 948.35$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.97 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed California-San Diego Tritons | 73c | 799$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.22 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db6…e1babacked California-San Diego Tritons | 24c | 700$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 25cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…6b57backed California-San Diego Tritons | 24c | 700$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Long Beach State Beach | 15c | 642$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 75c | 588.58$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.92 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b07…934abacked California-San Diego Tritons | 77c | 567.04$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed Long Beach State Beach | 18c | 560.56$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed California-San Diego Tritons | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Long Beach State Beach | 50c | 496.59$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.2 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed California-San Diego Tritons | 65c | 483$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.02 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed California-San Diego Tritons | 65c | 444.35$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.89 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Long Beach State Beach | 36c | 408.22$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3422…cd99backed California-San Diego Tritons | 60c | 387.69$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.27 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed California-San Diego Tritons | 49c | 300$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed California-San Diego Tritons | 78c | 255.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed California-San Diego Tritons | 68c | 252.59$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…15d5backed California-San Diego Tritons | 53c | 220$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…ea8bbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…191bbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed California-San Diego Tritons | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed California-San Diego Tritons | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed California-San Diego Tritons | 71c | 149.15$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Long Beach State Beach | 24c | 148.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed California-San Diego Tritons | 54c | 130$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Long Beach State Beach | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Long Beach State Beach | 34c | 119.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed California-San Diego Tritons | 73c | 117.63$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…a27cbacked Long Beach State Beach | 49c | 99.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309a…f474backed California-San Diego Tritons | 50c | 77.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 60cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Long Beach State Beach | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed California-San Diego Tritons | 58c | 59.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Long Beach State Beach | 46c | 58.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0926…5e52backed Long Beach State Beach | 31c | 32.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed California-San Diego Tritons | 59c | 31.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed California-San Diego Tritons | 71c | 30.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed California-San Diego Tritons | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…f396backed California-San Diego Tritons | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 78cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Long Beach State Beach | 38c | 29.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d3…43abbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 50c | 28.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc842…21ebbacked Long Beach State Beach | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…af5dbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 76c | 27.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed California-San Diego Tritons | 54c | 24.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Long Beach State Beach | 45c | 22.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…e817backed California-San Diego Tritons | 69c | 16.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Long Beach State Beach vs. California-San Diego Tritonsthis page
- Long Beach State Beach vs. California-San Diego Tritons: O/U 145.5Over won
- Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-9.5)Long Beach State Beach won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.