TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

South Dakota Coyotes vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
South Dakota Coyotesof South Dakota Coyotes, South Dakota State Jackrabbits
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,700
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,359

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,700 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits41c5,011$2,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,054.312,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked South Dakota Coyotes16c4,812$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,042.0289645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed South Dakota Coyotes37c2,386$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.585,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked South Dakota Coyotes18c1,794$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.211,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits61c1,742$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.125,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits65c1,135$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.333,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae5…910abacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits2c999.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20390%0 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked South Dakota Coyotes55c960.58$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.31,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked South Dakota Coyotes38c549.48$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.031,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits65c365.09$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.2999848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked South Dakota Coyotes60c260.76$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.464,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ad…8b71backed South Dakota Coyotes18c233.33$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.338940.4%36 W · 53 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed South Dakota Coyotes22c227.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.279525.3%24 W · 71 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits66c215.83$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.0268254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed South Dakota Coyotes46c212.94$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9413141.2%54 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14414151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits53c189.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-46.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits55c147.31$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5938345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked South Dakota Coyotes50c133.72$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.862759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits76c130.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked South Dakota Coyotes26c109.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0719138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed South Dakota Coyotes53c108$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.22,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ece…e1f4backed South Dakota Coyotes79c88.81$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits50c88.15$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.981,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed South Dakota Coyotes23c79$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9323331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed South Dakota Coyotes40c77.28$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.981,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits32c75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2444146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked South Dakota Coyotes39c50.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.932246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked South Dakota Coyotes42c47.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.765341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits57c43.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.713,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed South Dakota Coyotes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3093447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed South Dakota Coyotes45c39.23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.471,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed3f…2d57backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits37c34.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.866956.5%39 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits68c32.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1513651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits55c30.73$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.857655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked South Dakota Coyotes45c29.95$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.471,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d17…32d8backed South Dakota Coyotes62c26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.882564%16 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits51c24.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2112034.2%41 W · 79 L-13.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3422…cd99backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits42c24.13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.132060%12 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked South Dakota Coyotes47c21.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4987047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked South Dakota Coyotes63c18.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.996459.4%38 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.