Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e6752cb42a3d2bf9ef5bcc01e0153e95447105ff55ecd7131b307bc00ca732a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 32c | 10,050$3,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,188.06 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 5c | 10,000$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.2 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 24c | 8,883$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.88 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 6c | 6,602$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.85 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 53c | 4,717$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.69 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 1,799$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.16 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 73c | 1,041$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked No | 8c | 810.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 799.93$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.57 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 69c | 678$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.28 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 22c | 459$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.02 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 24c | 420$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.2 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 75c | 355.23$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 61c | 299.7$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.77 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 55c | 255$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.45 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3848…776abacked Yes | 9c | 228.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.35 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…b6bdbacked Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed No | 62c | 142.95$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.63 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed No | 13c | 127.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…409ebacked Yes | 26c | 77.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 72.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 60.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 67c | 51.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 49c | 37.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed No | 37c | 29.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…26afbacked No | 48c | 22.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3422…cd99backed Yes | 71c | 22.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.