Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0408eb3e5e6c000f8ab3541bb6529ec7c5c6ef675d01add6ee535ab3df02977e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 53c | 1,895$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.03 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 47c | 1,711$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.49 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 1,701$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.7 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,041$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 858.07$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.04 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 24c | 279$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 213.73$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.16 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 52c | 193.63$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 78c | 191.66$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 51c | 165$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.47 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1b…c496backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 48c | 77.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 29c | 71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 49c | 64.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Yes | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 29c | 42.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed No | 77c | 41.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed No | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 77c | 28.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 28.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 49c | 27.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 46c | 26.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbef9…fb7ebacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 68c | 16.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-02-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.