Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Evansville Aces vs. Valparaiso Beacons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe73aafb15026daf0c8b154c004124ff806c701caac091d1407d56dcf7a54f46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valparaiso Beaconsof Evansville Aces, Valparaiso Beacons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb729…4e2ebacked Evansville Aces | 46c | 20,257$9,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,266.5 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Evansville Aces | 20c | 5,031$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Valparaiso Beacons | 64c | 5,007$3,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.55 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Valparaiso Beacons | 48c | 4,764$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,458.74 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Valparaiso Beacons | 43c | 4,513$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.8 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Valparaiso Beacons | 75c | 4,464$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.6 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Valparaiso Beacons | 61c | 3,795$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.29 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 52c | 2,773$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.41 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Valparaiso Beacons | 48c | 2,729$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.74 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Evansville Aces | 11c | 2,500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Evansville Aces | 17c | 2,066$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.28 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Evansville Aces | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 49c | 1,383$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.27 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Valparaiso Beacons | 19c | 1,109$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.84 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Evansville Aces | 19c | 1,088$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.79 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Evansville Aces | 18c | 902.58$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.44 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 71c | 836.26$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.73 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Evansville Aces | 17c | 787$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.79 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…acb1backed Valparaiso Beacons | 80c | 722.19$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Valparaiso Beacons | 59c | 516.78$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.93 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Evansville Aces | 17c | 500.04$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.01 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Valparaiso Beacons | 67c | 500$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Valparaiso Beacons | 53c | 491.54$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.88 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Valparaiso Beacons | 59c | 476.68$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.9 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Evansville Aces | 17c | 465.68$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.17 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked Evansville Aces | 17c | 444$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Valparaiso Beacons | 59c | 411.88$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.9 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Evansville Aces | 17c | 360$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Valparaiso Beacons | 72c | 348.99$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.08 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…fad8backed Evansville Aces | 18c | 335.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Valparaiso Beacons | 63c | 311.5$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.65 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Evansville Aces | 16c | 284.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…7708backed Evansville Aces | 36c | 278.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 28.2%31 W · 79 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Evansville Aces | 20c | 267.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Evansville Aces | 19c | 263$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Valparaiso Beacons | 80c | 220.05$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Evansville Aces | 16c | 217$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Valparaiso Beacons | 78c | 197.34$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Evansville Aces | 19c | 172.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…a4bebacked Evansville Aces | 35c | 167.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Evansville Aces | 18c | 148.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 75c | 141.69$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Evansville Aces | 17c | 139.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Evansville Aces | 17c | 135.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…d47bbacked Evansville Aces | 17c | 129.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Evansville Aces | 16c | 126.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Evansville Aces | 32c | 115.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Evansville Aces | 18c | 112$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Evansville Aces | 18c | 108.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Valparaiso Beacons | 63c | 106.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Evansville Aces | 16c | 104.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe12…93aebacked Valparaiso Beacons | 43c | 92.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f50…0eafbacked Evansville Aces | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7433…7851backed Valparaiso Beacons | 58c | 77.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…6575backed Evansville Aces | 33c | 72.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Valparaiso Beacons | 41c | 71.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Evansville Aces | 39c | 66.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Valparaiso Beacons | 40c | 65.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Evansville Aces | 17c | 59.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3422…cd99backed Valparaiso Beacons | 64c | 52.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 32c | 45.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Evansville Aces | 29c | 43.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Valparaiso Beacons | 47c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Evansville Aces | 54c | 36.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Valparaiso Beacons | 60c | 28.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed Valparaiso Beacons | 49c | 26.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Valparaiso Beacons | 50c | 24.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Valparaiso Beacons | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…eb30backed Valparaiso Beacons | 75c | 14.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Evansville Aces vs. Valparaiso Beaconsthis page
- Evansville Aces vs. Valparaiso Beacons: O/U 136.5Under won
- Spread: Valparaiso Beacons (-10.5)Evansville Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.