Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UIC Flames vs. Murray State Racers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1652a7c10cde33a271bbe9602bc3cd8dcbf2ce1d36439bd36fe410d3b7ef880
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Murray State Racersof UIC Flames, Murray State Racers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Murray State Racers | 73c | 70,346$51,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,796.86 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed UIC Flames | 27c | 35,545$9,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,597.16 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Murray State Racers | 71c | 13,457$9,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.07 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked UIC Flames | 26c | 13,357$3,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,489.62 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed UIC Flames | 27c | 8,864$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.38 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UIC Flames | 26c | 4,725$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.51 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Murray State Racers | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Murray State Racers | 74c | 2,936$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.57 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed UIC Flames | 26c | 1,818$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.37 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Murray State Racers | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked UIC Flames | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed UIC Flames | 27c | 1,391$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.7 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked UIC Flames | 27c | 1,389$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.14 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UIC Flames | 9c | 990.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.68 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked UIC Flames | 23c | 975$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.72 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UIC Flames | 26c | 886$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.36 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked UIC Flames | 29c | 880$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.2 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked UIC Flames | 25c | 591.7$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.13 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Murray State Racers | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57a…fe9fbacked Murray State Racers | 78c | 493$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed UIC Flames | 17c | 473.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.44 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UIC Flames | 26c | 398.42$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.43 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed UIC Flames | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UIC Flames | 11c | 325.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Murray State Racers | 80c | 298.17$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Murray State Racers | 73c | 260.01$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.73 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UIC Flames | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed UIC Flames | 26c | 231.47$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Murray State Racers | 74c | 221.26$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UIC Flames | 16c | 220.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked UIC Flames | 18c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed UIC Flames | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Murray State Racers | 76c | 180.54$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed UIC Flames | 26c | 170$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed UIC Flames | 20c | 122.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked UIC Flames | 26c | 111.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed UIC Flames | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Murray State Racers | 74c | 103$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a42…34d8backed UIC Flames | 27c | 102.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed UIC Flames | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed UIC Flames | 14c | 87.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UIC Flames | 17c | 83.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed UIC Flames | 20c | 54.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UIC Flames | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed UIC Flames | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5b…6e14backed UIC Flames | 28c | 44.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cae…b135backed Murray State Racers | 75c | 40.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Murray State Racers | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…6575backed Murray State Racers | 71c | 28.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9d…8445backed Murray State Racers | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed Murray State Racers | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3422…cd99backed Murray State Racers | 77c | 19.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Murray State Racers | 75c | 14.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Murray State Racers | 75c | 13.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UIC Flames vs. Murray State Racersthis page
- Spread: Murray State Racers (-6.5)Murray State Racers won
- UIC Flames vs. Murray State Racers: O/U 158.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.