MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35aac9c57822c13bcef8c3b3d346b329725d34595603c5a44cae80f077383cb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $488,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $493,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $488,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 72,296$36,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,147.96 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 63,194$30,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,336.42 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 41,552$23,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,106.77 | 11,606 | 52.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L | +210.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Atlanta Braves | 28c | 27,955$7,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,027.38 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 22,039$11,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,019.72 | 3,541 | 51%1,805 W · 1,736 L | +53.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Atlanta Braves | 78c | 15,565$12,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.39 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 12,603$6,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,301.69 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 7,545$3,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,696.94 | 4,401 | 47.5%2,090 W · 2,311 L | -76.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 26c | 6,990$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.86 | 1,530 | 59.4%909 W · 621 L | +82.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 5,517 | 50.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 5,680$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.46 | 1,875 | 52.1%976 W · 899 L | +52.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 19c | 5,398$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.3 | 8,654 | 52.6%4,550 W · 4,104 L | +506.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 5,270$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.5 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 5,244$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.9 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,083 | 48.1%521 W · 562 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 69c | 4,430$3,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,038.57 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 4,205$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.42 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 74c | 4,109$3,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.55 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 3,700$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715 | 506 | 52.6%266 W · 240 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 3,348$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.38 | 2,064 | 39.2%810 W · 1,254 L | -29.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 61c | 2,976$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.85 | 8,251 | 46.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L | +41.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 2c | 2,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed Baltimore Orioles | 2c | 2,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +19%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1,415 | 48.9%692 W · 723 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 2,191$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.12 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 1,970$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.24 | 406 | 43.6%177 W · 229 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Baltimore Orioles | 10c | 1,897$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.93 | 170 | 14.1%24 W · 146 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 1,830$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.81 | 5,172 | 54.6%2,824 W · 2,348 L | +227.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.17 | 1,924 | 53.4%1,028 W · 896 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 1,601$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.5 | 3,465 | 51.2%1,774 W · 1,691 L | +105.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 1,596$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.15 | 980 | 45%441 W · 539 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 1,473$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.14 | 1,141 | 42.7%487 W · 654 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 1,275$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.88 | 1,960 | 41.4%812 W · 1,148 L | -25.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713a…5215backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 1,200$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Atlanta Braves | 73c | 1,161$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.67 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,137$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.55 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,970 | 53.1%1,047 W · 923 L | +45.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,065$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.95 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 1,002$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.38 | 458 | 53.7%246 W · 212 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,849 | 50.7%937 W · 912 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 982.41$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.63 | 4,197 | 50.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 976.48$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.24 | 904 | 53.5%484 W · 420 L | +24.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 975$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 975$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 1,671 | 49.1%820 W · 851 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 974.26$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 862.88$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.81 | 363 | 43%156 W · 207 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Atlanta Braves | 68c | 858.26$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.64 | 100 | 71%71 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x075d…58c1backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 721.88$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.94 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 700$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.03 | 1,911 | 44.4%848 W · 1,063 L | -29.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 687.31$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.5 | 4,524 | 48.9%2,214 W · 2,310 L | -42.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…ae33backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 648.64$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.15 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 644.08$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.96 | 1,848 | 50.3%930 W · 918 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 625$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 616.33$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.68 | 350 | 50.9%178 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 597.73$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.87 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 592.27$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.74 | 4,428 | 45.1%1,996 W · 2,432 L | +87.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 567.92$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.96 | 1,894 | 49.3%934 W · 960 L | +24.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 294 | 51%150 W · 144 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 496.02$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.83 | 837 | 42.8%358 W · 479 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 489.97$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.09 | 486 | 45.7%222 W · 264 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 468.61$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.86 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 445.9$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.36 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Atlanta Braves | 76c | 444$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 422.72$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.13 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b4…64d7backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 417.48$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 405.78$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.89 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,144 | 46.3%530 W · 614 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 399.97$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 399.62$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.42 | 879 | 48%422 W · 457 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727f…bdc6backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Atlanta Braves | 72c | 386.92$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.63 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 369.06$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.54 | 3,107 | 48.1%1,495 W · 1,612 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 350.39$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.75 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 329.55$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.8 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +147.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 317.57$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.38 | 491 | 49.3%242 W · 249 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Atlanta Braves | 80c | 310$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 301$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.38 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Atlanta Braves | 70c | 291.42$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.62 | 1,822 | 49.2%897 W · 925 L | -25.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 273$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.55 | 961 | 55.2%530 W · 431 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Atlanta Braves | 75c | 264$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,107 | 79.6%881 W · 226 L | +32.3wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Baltimore Orioles | 70c | 262.92$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.83 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 254.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.86 | 630 | 49.2%310 W · 320 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Baltimore Orioles | 21c | 251.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 2,191 | 40%876 W · 1,315 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0118…1366backed Atlanta Braves | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 249.28$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.13 | 427 | 48.2%206 W · 221 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Atlanta Braves | 75c | 245.92$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 582 | 60.5%352 W · 230 L | +30.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 239.13$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.13 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Atlanta Braves | 65c | 231.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 160 | 55%88 W · 72 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…ea98backed Atlanta Braves | 68c | 228.65$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 219.3$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.65 | 809 | 51.9%420 W · 389 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…037fbacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 212.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.23 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 211.9$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 204.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 1,448 | 50%724 W · 724 L | +26.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 4.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.