MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8116e8b4f6b7df4ba6bd8ce338a7c09c9951790b6a06a65c4eb9ec20b1c1caee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Athletics, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $429,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $544,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $429,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Athletics | 43c | 100,107$43,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,038.23 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…8a41backed Minnesota Twins | 75c | 73,126$54,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,237.37 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 30c | 49,517$14,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,738.27 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 38,213$22,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,216.11 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 16,022$9,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,889.46 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Athletics | 40c | 13,647$5,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,458.67 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 10,014$5,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,297.06 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 8,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Athletics | 37c | 7,233$2,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,674.78 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Athletics | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 4,942$2,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.4 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 4,540$2,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 3,777$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.4 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 3,488$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Minnesota Twins | 60c | 3,340$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Athletics | 41c | 3,188$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.13 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 3,128$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.42 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4f…0591backed Athletics | 13c | 2,778$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 24cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Athletics | 36c | 2,662$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.44 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.58 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics | 31c | 2,288$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.96 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 2,224$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.47 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 2,048$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.16 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…5ca8backed Athletics | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,964$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.52 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 1,560$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.05 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,537$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.47 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Athletics | 26c | 1,252$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.52 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Athletics | 27c | 1,208$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.34 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Minnesota Twins | 70c | 1,196$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.82 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 1,102$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.18 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Athletics | 28c | 1,051$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.79 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 1,017$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.36 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Minnesota Twins | 59c | 999.98$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.99 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 960$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.92 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Athletics | 43c | 901.19$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.19 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Minnesota Twins | 60c | 893.35$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.35 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…3cc1backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 819$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Minnesota Twins | 59c | 811.21$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.21 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 799.87$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.67 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Minnesota Twins | 71c | 781.64$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.31 | 300 | 40.7%122 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Athletics | 30c | 726.4$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.68 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Athletics | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 600.24$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.81 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Athletics | 26c | 597.53$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.49 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Athletics | 27c | 577$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.79 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 576$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.48 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Athletics | 36c | 504.04$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.85 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Athletics | 41c | 492.78$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.04 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Minnesota Twins | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…b7d4backed Athletics | 7c | 490.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Minnesota Twins | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 480.87$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.77 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Athletics | 43c | 449.91$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.46 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 441.22$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.72 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…92e9backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 379.51$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.51 | 140 | 64.3%90 W · 50 L | +11.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Athletics | 21c | 321.05$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Athletics | 44c | 302.86$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.26 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Minnesota Twins | 66c | 298$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.41 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 288.76$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.39 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Athletics | 19c | 284.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Athletics | 33c | 273.42$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.35 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 273$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.02 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 258$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.36 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Minnesota Twins | 77c | 258$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Athletics | 30c | 253.12$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.81 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Athletics | 31c | 248.4$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.04 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Minnesota Twins | 61c | 247.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.16 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Minnesota Twins | 72c | 244.85$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.79 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Athletics | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Minnesota Twins | 62c | 240.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.91 | 135 | 59.3%80 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Athletics | 43c | 235$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Minnesota Twins | 73c | 227.52$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.84 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a76…3c34backed Athletics | 41c | 219.73$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 215$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Athletics | 34c | 214.82$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Minnesota Twins | 63c | 211$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.12 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Athletics | 42c | 204.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Athletics | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Minnesota Twins | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Minnesota Twins | 77c | 198$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Minnesota Twins | 78c | 192.07$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Athletics | 39c | 191.65$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 190.77$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe474…0200backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 173$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 278 | 52.2%145 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Minnesota Twins | 70c | 169.17$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Athletics | 24c | 165.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 161.61$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Athletics | 25c | 156.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 3.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 4.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Minnesota TwinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.