TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Samsun: Colin Sinclair vs Koki Matsuda

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Koki Matsudaof Colin Sinclair, Koki Matsuda
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,720
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,061

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,720 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Colin Sinclair4c21,216$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.958,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Colin Sinclair11c4,796$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.361,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Colin Sinclair4c4,435$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.8232329.7%96 W · 227 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Colin Sinclair41c4,311$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.8930339.3%119 W · 184 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Colin Sinclair4c3,563$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.5329149.5%144 W · 147 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Koki Matsuda76c2,816$2,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.7111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Colin Sinclair6c1,985$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.294,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Colin Sinclair5c1,886$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.252,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Koki Matsuda68c1,697$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.514,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Koki Matsuda74c1,343$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.498,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Colin Sinclair19c1,051$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.686,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Colin Sinclair1c1,043$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4338141.2%157 W · 224 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Colin Sinclair9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Colin Sinclair4c817.27$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9987741.3%362 W · 515 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Colin Sinclair4c787.26$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4942546.4%197 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Colin Sinclair46c695.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.151,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Colin Sinclair6c669.75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5737547.2%177 W · 198 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Colin Sinclair42c609.7$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.984,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Colin Sinclair5c599.08$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.969047%324 W · 366 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d2…d00fbacked Koki Matsuda57c433$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.1911741.9%49 W · 68 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Colin Sinclair4c424.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.976256.5%35 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Colin Sinclair20c412.36$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.073,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Colin Sinclair5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036621.6%79 W · 287 L+1.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Colin Sinclair5c400$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1822540.4%91 W · 134 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Colin Sinclair8c393.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9d0…2a3abacked Colin Sinclair12c344.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016437.8%62 W · 102 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Colin Sinclair4c327.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.12,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Koki Matsuda60c325.25$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.13,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Koki Matsuda71c280$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.651,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Koki Matsuda54c244.61$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.498,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Colin Sinclair24c235.26$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.771,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Colin Sinclair17c228.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.022,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Koki Matsuda56c225.98$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9730131.9%96 W · 205 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x581a…ba99backed Colin Sinclair17c223.67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3860%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5818…5269backed Colin Sinclair14c201.21$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.178933.7%30 W · 59 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Colin Sinclair45c199.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9911144.1%49 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea6…9223backed Colin Sinclair6c199.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.186642.4%28 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Koki Matsuda67c197.63$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9570537.6%265 W · 440 L-37.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa474…61babacked Koki Matsuda76c197.43$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.433979.5%31 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick71cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Colin Sinclair9c195.39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9978957.8%456 W · 333 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Colin Sinclair38c194.4$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.252,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d0a…ea32backed Colin Sinclair9c150.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1343618.3%80 W · 356 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Koki Matsuda61c150$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.51,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Colin Sinclair38c145$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2985748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Colin Sinclair8c133.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.872,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Colin Sinclair40c133.19$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.222,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Colin Sinclair32c112.16$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.851,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Koki Matsuda54c108.69$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a0c…66f7backed Colin Sinclair45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Koki Matsuda63c99.98$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.993,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Koki Matsuda52c91.24$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.82,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160a…43d3backed Colin Sinclair37c86.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.915534.5%19 W · 36 L-8.8wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-36.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Koki Matsuda62c85.32$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.261,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Koki Matsuda76c80.03$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6153644.8%240 W · 296 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Colin Sinclair32c79.69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.53,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Colin Sinclair43c78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.547,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Koki Matsuda69c73.65$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9922335.4%79 W · 144 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Koki Matsuda73c67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.091,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Colin Sinclair30c63.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6739446.7%184 W · 210 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Koki Matsuda64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.52,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Koki Matsuda52c61.61$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5743144.8%193 W · 238 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Colin Sinclair22c58.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6576355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Koki Matsuda72c49.11$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.751,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…db95backed Colin Sinclair33c48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.632952.3%172 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Koki Matsuda73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.828264.2%181 W · 101 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Koki Matsuda72c37.39$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.326,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Koki Matsuda67c32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.671,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce8b…738abacked Colin Sinclair35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.522230.6%68 W · 154 L-25.6wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Koki Matsuda70c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.497852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Koki Matsuda64c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0842350.8%215 W · 208 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Koki Matsuda70c26.81$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.061,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Colin Sinclair40c26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d34…d7b5backed Koki Matsuda69c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7552552.4%275 W · 250 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x944b…754fbacked Koki Matsuda80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Koki Matsuda61c24.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.331,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Koki Matsuda55c23.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6185637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Koki Matsuda50c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.552355.6%291 W · 232 L+26.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbab2…9decbacked Koki Matsuda64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.229151.9%151 W · 140 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Koki Matsuda70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Koki Matsuda70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Koki Matsuda70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.570254.4%382 W · 320 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.