Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x028a18ce2c77770981bfffffe9b53f3c670ff3e1e28713e89de265fa5a347ec7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 44c | 1,815$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.51 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 43c | 641.04$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.86 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 41c | 477.6$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.95 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 4c | 475.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 495 | 43.6%216 W · 279 L | +31.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 22c | 467.77$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.14 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa12d…4c1bbacked No | 53c | 466.72$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.53 | 202 | 41.1%83 W · 119 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6e…5848backed Yes | 47c | 459.18$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.79 | 241 | 41.1%99 W · 142 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6a…eb61backed No | 47c | 395.36$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.97 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 44c | 323.91$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.55 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebb…14c7backed Yes | 55c | 300$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 59c | 282.69$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.52 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…e2e6backed No | 37c | 272$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.58 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 40c | 266.01$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.01 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 37c | 250$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.11 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec90…fd41backed Yes | 43c | 246.45$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.71 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…decbbacked Yes | 60c | 217.09$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.09 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 24c | 211.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 49c | 208.27$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.63 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee8…15bebacked Yes | 64c | 198.15$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 35c | 176.54$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 33c | 172.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 12c | 170.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 40c | 150.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.14 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 27c | 144.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 353 | 23.2%82 W · 271 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 60c | 142$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.83 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 41c | 139$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x107c…ab15backed Yes | 42c | 134.91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…01fabacked No | 9c | 126.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 36c | 123.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 59c | 120.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 24c | 120.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 52c | 118.54$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9016…e4babacked Yes | 46c | 117.04$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 53c | 116.79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked No | 21c | 116.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf70e…3204backed Yes | 74c | 115.02$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 22c | 114.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579d…247cbacked No | 51c | 111.66$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 59c | 105$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 59c | 104.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 48c | 102$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.49 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed No | 54c | 100.01$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…8b5ebacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…b8febacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 286 | 66.8%191 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 46c | 94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 33c | 90.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 31c | 90.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…a26fbacked Yes | 48c | 85.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Yes | 40c | 84.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 41c | 84.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 760 | 59.2%450 W · 310 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…a84bbacked Yes | 53c | 84.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 207 | 39.1%81 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 29c | 81.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 34c | 80.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…5e1abacked Yes | 80c | 80.49$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 31c | 79.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 21c | 77.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e2…06f4backed No | 57c | 75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 30c | 69.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…005bbacked No | 28c | 69.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 167 | 9.6%16 W · 151 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e9…1f83backed Yes | 48c | 65.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 63c | 65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 63c | 65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c90…17efbacked Yes | 25c | 63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 57c | 61.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 47c | 61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 62c | 60.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa755…6c5bbacked Yes | 49c | 60.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba5…c168backed No | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…c27cbacked Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 149 | 32.9%49 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Yes | 54c | 59.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 53c | 56.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd115…4906backed Yes | 74c | 55.32$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 135 | 88.1%119 W · 16 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4a79backed Yes | 33c | 55.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc8…9335backed Yes | 62c | 53.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes | 53c | 52.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 445 | 36.6%163 W · 282 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 60c | 52.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed No | 49c | 51.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 341 | 51.3%175 W · 166 L | -26.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x593e…2f85backed Yes | 31c | 51.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +223.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c73…4ca6backed Yes | 57c | 51.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 46c | 50.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 49c | 50.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d43…9719backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c5…9d28backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64be…c653backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 27c | 47.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 51c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422a…c395backed Yes | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x758d…9548backed Yes | 28c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x582c…3266backed Yes | 67c | 44.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…e17fbacked No | 58c | 44.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 165 | 30.9%51 W · 114 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc878…a6f3backed Yes | 42c | 43.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 16?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C or below on August 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.