World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1db1f4d61ca6bf6d15b5e5e19c1e75f35f1a92e9b1ce4122ddbf5de0aa0076f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked No | 28c | 399.96$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.98 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 13c | 357.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 61c | 353.31$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.26 | 230 | 44.8%103 W · 127 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed No | 7c | 352.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.54 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 22c | 308.77$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 68c | 297.22$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.05 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 68c | 283.3$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.79 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 53c | 260.51$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.52 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 28c | 253.48$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 5c | 246.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 145 | 21.4%31 W · 114 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 8c | 233.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 51c | 223.94$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.9 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 18c | 204.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.34 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 23c | 191.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 24c | 191.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 23c | 190$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.57 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 50c | 182.07$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.33 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 39c | 169.85$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.03 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 23c | 168.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…e2e3backed Yes | 23c | 166.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 162.81$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…64a7backed Yes | 38c | 151.3$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 77c | 140.75$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 29c | 129.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 74c | 124.35$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 35c | 117.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 35c | 114.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 77c | 111.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 62c | 109.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 22c | 108.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…182cbacked Yes | 34c | 107.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Yes | 23c | 97.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 65c | 92.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 88.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 28c | 85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 54c | 83.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 24c | 82.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 57c | 80.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed No | 13c | 77.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.11 | 75 | 17.3%13 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…02d9backed No | 42c | 73.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5174…8a39backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…8819backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 71c | 70.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 77c | 70.21$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…3e60backed Yes | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 22c | 69.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3114…eaaabacked Yes | 24c | 67.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0838…64f6backed Yes | 37c | 67.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed Yes | 55c | 66.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 77c | 58.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 58c | 57.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…c186backed Yes | 28c | 53.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 25c | 52.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 22c | 50.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae4…5c60backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 70c | 49.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 77c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a39…cf39backed Yes | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 77c | 40.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed No | 70c | 40.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 40c | 40.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c70…34c4backed No | 34c | 40.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6b…07cbbacked Yes | 31c | 39.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 34c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 74c | 37.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 73c | 35.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d64…e3fdbacked Yes | 38c | 35.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 77c | 34.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 58 | 81%47 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…ea0fbacked No | 36c | 33.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 41c | 32.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9518…6c1ebacked No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 70c | 31.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 186 | 69.4%129 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 71c | 31.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 76c | 30.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…5d84backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 31 | 83.9%26 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 76c | 26.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 77c | 26.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 53 | 83%44 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb5…3253backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…7cb8backed Yes | 47c | 25.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…9b4ebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 77c | 23.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcca2…fa31backed Yes | 62c | 20.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -70%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 74c | 19.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.1wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…d072backed Yes | 79c | 17.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9575backed Yes | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 181 | 58%105 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 69c | 15.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 144 | 67.4%97 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or below on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.