World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91c1a3bc12cc2aa7684ee79f95093a9b614c8536a25d45e0bf2aa03c225439e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 34c | 1,119$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.48 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…53cbbacked Yes | 48c | 710.34$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.81 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 64c | 483.56$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.04 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 58c | 437.96$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.63 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 66c | 417.46$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.78 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 38c | 394.2$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.58 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 39c | 360.26$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.41 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 32c | 351.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.72 | 230 | 44.8%103 W · 127 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 56c | 305$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.12 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 62c | 283.3$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.27 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 59c | 282.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.25 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 43c | 280.38$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.24 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 23c | 265.7$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.59 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…9e66backed Yes | 43c | 242.75$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.34 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 63c | 239.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.74 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…0872backed Yes | 38c | 222.94$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.94 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 7c | 182.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 145 | 21.4%31 W · 114 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 6c | 168.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.04 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 66c | 163$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.58 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 52c | 156.35$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…1a22backed Yes | 63c | 146.82$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.22 | 14 | 100%14 W · 0 L | +6.1wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 59c | 140.77$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 43c | 138.84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 42c | 115$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 61c | 115$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…6c51backed Yes | 37c | 113.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 78c | 111.29$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 37c | 110.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 39c | 102.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 37c | 101.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.76 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…0c22backed Yes | 10c | 100.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…6ff8backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 48c | 97.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…e2e3backed Yes | 38c | 93.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 24c | 92.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.79 | 221 | 11.3%25 W · 196 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 41c | 90.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x859c…6eafbacked Yes | 15c | 90$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 22c | 86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.18 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 53c | 85.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 14c | 79.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.71 | 75 | 17.3%13 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed No | 65c | 77.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 36c | 69.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3114…eaaabacked Yes | 38c | 67.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked Yes | 41c | 67.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 70c | 65.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…d496backed Yes | 27c | 65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.37per pick | 45cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 74c | 60.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…c186backed Yes | 34c | 59.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 19c | 58.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 42c | 57.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…64a7backed Yes | 42c | 56.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0838…64f6backed Yes | 36c | 54.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 37c | 53.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 36c | 52.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 36c | 52.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…0cc4backed Yes | 38c | 51.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 41c | 51.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a39…cf39backed Yes | 39c | 51.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2118…27a3backed Yes | 41c | 49.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes | 43c | 49.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x376c…41acbacked Yes | 40c | 49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecc…c745backed No | 44c | 45.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 61c | 45.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 36c | 45.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 35c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…02d9backed No | 47c | 41.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…4ddebacked No | 62c | 40.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 41c | 39.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 40c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…2ee9backed Yes | 38c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 78c | 36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4308backed No | 57c | 35.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9518…6c1ebacked No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c0…22b4backed Yes | 38c | 33.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 42c | 32.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 32.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 62c | 32.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 63c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 61c | 31.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked No | 64c | 31.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 66c | 30.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 44c | 29.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 55c | 29.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 61c | 27.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 38c | 26.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 40c | 25.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 101 | 8.9%9 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…a172backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4612…d575backed No | 64c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f37…1952backed No | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 72c | 23.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or below on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.