World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34e65c433a886eda5e44541e5965241f51515923b172167e2213eb337c23ea91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x107c…ab15backed Yes | 0c | 11,301$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc6…22a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,256$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 36c | 1,075$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 48c | 790.68$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.22 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 15c | 446.82$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 104 | 14.4%15 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 52c | 428.25$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.62 | 98 | 22.4%22 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 47c | 408.32$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.59 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 6c | 400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 55c | 363.6$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.02 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 53c | 314.54$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.63 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x935c…fb8fbacked Yes | 13c | 298.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +196.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa755…6c5bbacked Yes | 32c | 292.77$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.02 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x811a…9a3cbacked Yes | 4c | 291.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 57c | 263.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba5…c168backed Yes | 9c | 219.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x838c…5c82backed Yes | 48c | 203.49$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e6…319dbacked Yes | 15c | 202.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…9e66backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6e…5848backed Yes | 57c | 191.13$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…decbbacked Yes | 28c | 177.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 51c | 169.73$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.66 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 49c | 154.6$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.31 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 49c | 154.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 11c | 149.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 221 | 11.3%25 W · 196 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 52c | 143.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 88 | 65.9%58 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…be51backed Yes | 50c | 140.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…04e1backed Yes | 45c | 139.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…99c9backed Yes | 46c | 136.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 49c | 136.89$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 51c | 134.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…e2e6backed No | 65c | 131$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 71c | 126.17$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 62c | 123.3$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7342…d5b4backed No | 40c | 119$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed Yes | 47c | 118.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.73 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe630…ef20backed No | 76c | 117.11$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 14 | 100%14 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 37c | 117.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 42c | 116$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…ed72backed Yes | 46c | 115$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 57c | 114.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…b8febacked No | 53c | 113.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 36c | 105.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 54c | 103.1$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…60e9backed Yes | 48c | 102.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…a26fbacked Yes | 32c | 99.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 183 | 42.6%78 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd487…5f32backed Yes | 14c | 97.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 78c | 85.88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 47c | 85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 49c | 83.59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…656dbacked No | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 78c | 77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 55c | 68.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked No | 46c | 66.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed Yes | 49c | 64.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…e17fbacked No | 50c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 77c | 60.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…6effbacked No | 43c | 58.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 58c | 56.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 60c | 56.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 75c | 55.74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…7bf9backed Yes | 52c | 55.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 50c | 54.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 46c | 53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 103 | 20.4%21 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…880abacked Yes | 37c | 52.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 63c | 50.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…a619backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd2…8eaabacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 55c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 50c | 48.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 49c | 46.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 42c | 44.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 181 | 58%105 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 53c | 43.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 47c | 43.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 186 | 62.4%116 W · 70 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 60c | 43.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…29afbacked No | 56c | 42.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…6423backed Yes | 24c | 41.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc54…db0ebacked No | 75c | 40.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…6ff8backed No | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…3f79backed No | 58c | 39.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 73c | 39.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 53c | 39.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 52c | 38.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 54c | 37.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 47c | 37.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…5565backed No | 52c | 36.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 59c | 36.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cf…b443backed Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e20…dddcbacked Yes | 59c | 34.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 50c | 32.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…c27cbacked Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…a84bbacked Yes | 59c | 32.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 56c | 31.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 52c | 30.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba6d…9128backed No | 51c | 30.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93f7…c133backed Yes | 63c | 29.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 16?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 16?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.