World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2adba815db369fe06604d69f1fc052cf2ab4ace716d6f4dde145d81540dbabd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5201…34c3backed Yes | 74c | 756.71$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 22c | 593.56$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.95 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 51c | 538.45$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.63 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 45c | 490.4$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.97 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed No | 40c | 386.67$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.05 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 28c | 345.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.53 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 70c | 325.89$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.76 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 38c | 316.58$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.32 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…dae0backed Yes | 69c | 304.84$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 41c | 251$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.67 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b60…558dbacked Yes | 73c | 241.67$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0d…8c4dbacked Yes | 43c | 235.62$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.44 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 45c | 218.49$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.17 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 41c | 214.5$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.78 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.66 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 42c | 200$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.47 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 33c | 197.18$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 74c | 186.73$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 28c | 170.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 40c | 168.48$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.27 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 37c | 160.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.28 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 33c | 157.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 21c | 153.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 51c | 141.02$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 23c | 139.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 73c | 136.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 29c | 136.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 57c | 127.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 50c | 127.2$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 36c | 125.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 145 | 21.4%31 W · 114 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 46c | 125.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 64c | 124.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.76 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1b…3e49backed Yes | 52c | 116.76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 51c | 116.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 144 | 67.4%97 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 43c | 116.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 40c | 116.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…f053backed No | 46c | 112.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 63c | 110.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 38c | 109.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 47c | 106.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.01 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 45c | 106$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 25c | 105.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 48c | 104.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.61 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed No | 60c | 103.97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…1646backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c70…34c4backed No | 45c | 98.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 37c | 95.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 47c | 95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 52c | 93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…02d9backed No | 48c | 88.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 38c | 87.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 44c | 87.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 47c | 86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -59%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 49c | 85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 55c | 84.37$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 53c | 83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 32c | 82.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 21c | 81.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 28c | 76.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 52c | 76.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 68c | 73.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…6d6ebacked Yes | 56c | 69.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 56c | 68.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 56c | 67.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…5f57backed Yes | 75c | 66.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 41c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 54c | 65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 71c | 62.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 53c | 61.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 45c | 60.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859c…6eafbacked Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…14ccbacked Yes | 39c | 59.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 50c | 59.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…a6dabacked Yes | 47c | 58.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 69c | 57.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…cf4cbacked Yes | 77c | 56.14$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 44c | 55.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 48c | 54.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 55c | 54.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 57c | 54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 49c | 53.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 28c | 53.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed No | 54c | 52.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked No | 20c | 52.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 43c | 52.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…796fbacked Yes | 69c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 39c | 50.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 52c | 50.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 40c | 50.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…f6a0backed Yes | 47c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 37c | 49.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked Yes | 51c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb674…e97abacked No | 59c | 46.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 47c | 46.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 44c | 44.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.