World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bfdd957daa76ac1a49e160da0138fae1b8cdacfba52a95aa478bd5eccde85e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 39c | 1,467$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.49 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 26c | 1,099$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.04 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 23c | 573.68$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.05 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 69c | 568.41$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.19 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 72c | 490.4$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.14 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 21c | 469.25$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 60c | 411.53$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.68 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 49c | 386.5$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 76c | 366.23$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.73 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 331.57$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.46 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 75c | 323.05$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.21 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 18c | 319.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 35c | 274.48$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 67c | 263.35$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.97 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 42c | 251.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.83 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 23c | 227.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked Yes | 20c | 223.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 74c | 220.42$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.83 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0d…8c4dbacked Yes | 30c | 200.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -67%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 24c | 190.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 70c | 190.48$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7047…31b3backed Yes | 29c | 174$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 19c | 171.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 73c | 162$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…cf4cbacked Yes | 34c | 158.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 78c | 155.24$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 76c | 144.55$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…079bbacked No | 72c | 138.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 65c | 138.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 71c | 126.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 74c | 125.44$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 75c | 121.28$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4204…165abacked No | 67c | 120.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 66c | 120.02$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1b…3e49backed Yes | 33c | 117.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 72c | 116.36$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 144 | 67.4%97 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 49c | 115.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked No | 65c | 113.05$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 37c | 112$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -59%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 27c | 109.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 72c | 94.72$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 27c | 91.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 103 | 20.4%21 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…f053backed No | 48c | 91.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 56c | 89.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 69c | 87.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 72c | 86.26$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 83.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e7…8ffbbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 26c | 83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 40c | 82.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…e7a0backed No | 64c | 77.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 74c | 77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 75cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a96…cf5cbacked Yes | 25c | 76.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 15c | 73.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 65c | 71.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b0…1402backed Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…ae14backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…b8c5backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 67c | 67.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8d…84afbacked Yes | 60c | 67.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 67c | 65.55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 47c | 64.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 73c | 64.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 19c | 64.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 51c | 63.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 71c | 56.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 69c | 55.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 74c | 55.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +52%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed No | 72c | 55.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 25c | 54.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 61c | 53.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 78c | 53.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 29c | 51.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 23c | 50.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3728…a76dbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b60…558dbacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…6d6ebacked Yes | 55c | 45.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…d0b1backed Yes | 39c | 44.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 76c | 43.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 35c | 42.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked No | 63c | 41.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed Yes | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9575backed Yes | 25c | 40.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 73c | 40.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 181 | 58%105 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 26c | 37.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 63c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…4162backed Yes | 29c | 36.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +126.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…a1dfbacked Yes | 33c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 30c | 34.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 64c | 34.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +374.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 74c | 33.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 64c | 32.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 186 | 69.4%129 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 34c | 31.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed Yes | 37c | 30.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 6?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.