World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59b84ef1a6b2698924b310f9aa8644a1c4e0043883290770947e3f93fff31b1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef32…265cbacked No | 69c | 814.85$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 30c | 668.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 32c | 484.16$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.01 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…c186backed Yes | 57c | 429.1$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 62c | 359.8$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.65 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 60c | 327.88$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.34 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 67c | 252.38$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.41 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7d…b30ebacked No | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 12c | 247.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…0872backed No | 54c | 232.51$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.51 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 44c | 227.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.09 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 70c | 225$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.43 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 49c | 216.74$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.48 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3986…71fcbacked Yes | 59c | 216.5$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…1d16backed Yes | 43c | 213.23$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 57c | 211.2$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.55 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 34c | 190.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.38 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 69c | 185.65$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 53c | 184.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.17 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 31c | 180$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 35c | 176.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 35c | 171.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 35c | 171.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 181 | 58%105 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 34c | 160$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 63c | 139.97$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 51c | 138.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.34 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 57c | 131.59$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 37c | 124.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 42c | 118.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 67c | 110.18$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 34c | 106.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…29a1backed No | 65c | 103$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 66c | 102.27$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d964backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbc…e05dbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 59c | 98.02$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 70c | 96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed Yes | 28c | 94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 35c | 92.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 186 | 62.4%116 W · 70 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 31c | 90$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 51c | 89.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba22…e546backed Yes | 35c | 85.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 56c | 85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 69c | 83.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 26c | 83.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 45c | 83.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.89 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 36c | 82.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 66c | 81.91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.1wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…e5d7backed Yes | 57c | 79.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 64c | 77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 35c | 74.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…9e66backed No | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 30c | 66.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 51c | 63.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 61c | 61.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 45c | 60.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ad…69f5backed Yes | 59c | 56.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 68c | 54.49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 37c | 53.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked Yes | 30c | 53.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 37c | 51.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…e2e3backed Yes | 33c | 51.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 51c | 50.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…e47abacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -63%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…453fbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…02d9backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ad…5f89backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed No | 52c | 48.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc6…22a6backed Yes | 30c | 48.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…7b89backed Yes | 32c | 47.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecc…c745backed No | 45c | 45.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 35c | 43.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 53c | 41.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 65c | 41.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…66f7backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed Yes | 28c | 39.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 37.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f3…74c9backed No | 66c | 35.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…50ebbacked No | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4612…d575backed No | 65c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 40c | 31.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 142 | 5.6%8 W · 134 L | -27.2wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 53c | 30.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 29?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.