World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0273bc8384b76c023032a6b01c4b7c407eef13d43c6452886bc747c362e33419
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 34c | 1,748$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.77 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 40c | 911.99$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.19 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 34c | 735.53$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.86 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 46c | 518.16$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.57 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…cc81backed No | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 66c | 490$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.4 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…53cbbacked Yes | 41c | 465.16$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.61 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 65c | 449.59$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.73 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 25c | 362.88$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 61c | 359.8$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.55 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 70c | 319.49$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.86 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 19c | 308.78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…1652backed No | 41c | 291.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 24c | 247.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 59c | 236.64$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.55 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…c186backed Yes | 41c | 219.79$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 61c | 210$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 145 | 21.4%31 W · 114 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…0872backed Yes | 30c | 194.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.82 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 63c | 190$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…64a7backed Yes | 32c | 188.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 25c | 181.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.76 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…1d16backed Yes | 40c | 181.24$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 72c | 172.72$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 30c | 163.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.64 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.1wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 32c | 160$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.2 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 8c | 159.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 17c | 154.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 56c | 147$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.69 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 32c | 140.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.72 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…6423backed No | 76c | 131.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7d…b30ebacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e3…6863backed Yes | 33c | 128.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +51%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 48c | 116.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 15c | 112.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 17c | 108.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.77 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 24c | 104$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 66c | 103.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 24c | 100.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.39 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 64c | 97.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 93.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…36cdbacked Yes | 21c | 91.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…e2e3backed Yes | 27c | 90.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 25c | 90.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 62c | 89.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 75c | 82.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…9da2backed Yes | 25c | 81.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 22cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 52c | 71.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 45c | 67.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 49 | 79.6%39 W · 10 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…9e66backed No | 67c | 61.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef32…265cbacked Yes | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 40c | 58.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1f…106fbacked No | 52c | 55.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 23c | 55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 64c | 54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 70c | 53.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 32c | 53.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed Yes | 38c | 51.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 53c | 51.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 51.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…2313backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…ff0fbacked No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -78%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…902dbacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 65c | 49.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 39c | 48.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f5…f4f5backed Yes | 22c | 46.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0838…64f6backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed No | 56c | 46.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 72c | 44.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 64c | 43.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 26c | 41.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…dacdbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x947c…9a5cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…ea0fbacked Yes | 39c | 39.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed Yes | 30c | 38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 71c | 37.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 36c | 36.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 64c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 73c | 33.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f2…6c8ebacked No | 61c | 32.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422a…dc4bbacked No | 62c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes | 34c | 29.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4606…7f19backed No | 71c | 28.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 42c | 28.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6f…8cfcbacked Yes | 40c | 25.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…ff15backed No | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…8f82backed No | 66c | 23.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed No | 64c | 22.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.