La Liga · resolved market
Will Burgos CF win on 2025-12-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe28890e61dea343731b70c1c66393ed3a3a05471e5d8a44fa20f16f51a87e1b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 43c | 25,000$10,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,749.9 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 57c | 22,972$13,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,877.77 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 5,364$3,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.97 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 37c | 2,855$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.29 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 2,426$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.75 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 41c | 1,214$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 64c | 999.96$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.98 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 57c | 681.39$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.79 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 21c | 642.29$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.88 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 43c | 597.67$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 43c | 581.81$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 58c | 533.26$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.26 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 57c | 528.97$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.46 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 25c | 439.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 66c | 415.33$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.54 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 28c | 355.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 36c | 274.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 38c | 267.63$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 37c | 257.11$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Yes | 21c | 234.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…e38bbacked Yes | 42c | 210$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1eb…2e42backed No | 58c | 209$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…38d1backed Yes | 38c | 206.66$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff4…0225backed No | 58c | 197$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b98…ec9abacked Yes | 42c | 196$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 32c | 188.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 7c | 180.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked No | 58c | 173.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.54 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…8682backed Yes | 44c | 148.89$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.36per pick | 54cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked No | 66c | 136.94$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…cfc5backed No | 74c | 134.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 37c | 131.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe923…0779backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…188ebacked Yes | 44c | 114.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…6cb7backed No | 58c | 110$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 34c | 110$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 12c | 106$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…3389backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…f93cbacked Yes | 27c | 87.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 41c | 85.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed No | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2af4…e06cbacked No | 55c | 56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…6e7ebacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 38c | 46.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 37c | 45.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 64c | 45.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…8d3cbacked No | 57c | 44.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…daabbacked No | 75c | 38.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 72c | 32.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Yes | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 65c | 24.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fb…7c39backed No | 57c | 19.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 58c | 17.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burgos CF win on 2025-12-08?this page
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2025-12-08?Yes won
- Will Burgos CF vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.