La Liga · resolved market
Will Burgos CF vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31d0c315c502e0df2e96026d739f75b932940230d28462b793f3a80f1e1d38a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 44c | 718.62$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.66 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -41%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 69c | 466$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.46 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 334.12$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.24 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…2c99backed Yes | 33c | 293.94$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 31c | 281.58$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 54c | 115.31$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc420…eb1bbacked Yes | 74c | 66.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 58c | 63.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…ca50backed Yes | 44c | 52.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 32c | 38.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ee…31cabacked Yes | 47c | 25.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes | 69c | 15.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burgos CF vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw?this page
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2025-12-08?Yes won
- Will Burgos CF win on 2025-12-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.