CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Galorys - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca4bb38677ec1c8a9bb889d880ea6090dcc5b17ca06e66c44c98f0d7c3e4e62a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galorysof Fluxo, Galorys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Fluxo | 65c | 1,364$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.95 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fluxo | 65c | 1,158$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.54 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Galorys | 45c | 871.17$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.44 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…4fb2backed Fluxo | 66c | 640.21$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Fluxo | 52c | 638.19$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.92 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fluxo | 38c | 593.84$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.91 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Fluxo | 42c | 592.28$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.6 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Galorys | 67c | 562.37$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.33 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Fluxo | 55c | 369$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.35 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Fluxo | 64c | 328.85$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.22 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed Galorys | 35c | 305.1$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.32 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Galorys | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Galorys | 48c | 291.19$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.26 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Galorys | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Galorys | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Galorys | 35c | 275.28$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.13 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Galorys | 37c | 271.73$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.87 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…f9b2backed Galorys | 59c | 271.19$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.19 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Galorys | 36c | 257.41$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.51 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ff…b842backed Galorys | 38c | 253.11$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.11 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Galorys | 52c | 213.28$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Galorys | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c82…9728backed Fluxo | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Fluxo | 21c | 180$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Galorys | 56c | 178.39$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed Galorys | 37c | 174.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.66 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Galorys | 34c | 172.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Fluxo | 63c | 163.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.04 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Galorys | 35c | 156.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.62 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Fluxo | 49c | 152$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e4…7161backed Fluxo | 23c | 126.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed Galorys | 36c | 118.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Galorys | 35c | 106.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Galorys | 35c | 102.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 157 | 65%102 W · 55 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Galorys | 34c | 75.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa52b…baf2backed Galorys | 70c | 70.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Galorys | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Galorys | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Galorys | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Fluxo | 67c | 38.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Fluxo | 64c | 38.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Galorys | 43c | 34.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 228 | 44.3%101 W · 127 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Fluxo | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Fluxo | 65c | 24.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Fluxo | 63c | 21.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Galorys | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Galorys - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife PlayoffsGalorys won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Galorys - Map 1 WinnerGalorys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.