CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33bf5363a4de716cca3863111c372ef8d6a8ed31ac1046c580b0fae855660307
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof FOKUS, fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc9a…224fbacked FOKUS | 54c | 1,759$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked fnatic | 45c | 500.28$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.15 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked fnatic | 63c | 491.15$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.83 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed fnatic | 58c | 471.98$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.95 | 1,489 | 58%863 W · 626 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed FOKUS | 48c | 412.96$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.06 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…0c0abacked fnatic | 63c | 373.54$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.56 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…af95backed FOKUS | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 242 | 56.6%137 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked fnatic | 49c | 330$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.7 | 263 | 41.1%108 W · 155 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed FOKUS | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed FOKUS | 56c | 270$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 169 | 49.7%84 W · 85 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc104…5faabacked FOKUS | 33c | 253.05$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.03 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…9589backed fnatic | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed fnatic | 54c | 218.57$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.54 | 294 | 40.5%119 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked FOKUS | 46c | 217.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked fnatic | 47c | 207.91$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.67 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1566backed fnatic | 61c | 201.26$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked fnatic | 75c | 200.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bb…8addbacked FOKUS | 52c | 191.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed fnatic | 58c | 171$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.8 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed fnatic | 72c | 160$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed fnatic | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed fnatic | 56c | 130$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed fnatic | 44c | 122.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.38 | 569 | 38.1%217 W · 352 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked fnatic | 45c | 116.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked fnatic | 45c | 103.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked FOKUS | 48c | 71.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked FOKUS | 38c | 68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed FOKUS | 20c | 63.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked fnatic | 73c | 63.37$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked fnatic | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed FOKUS | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked fnatic | 45c | 40.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed FOKUS | 54c | 38.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed fnatic | 53c | 36.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 231 | 72.3%167 W · 64 L | +27.0wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…dc8bbacked FOKUS | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed fnatic | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed fnatic | 44c | 25.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs fnatic - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs fnatic (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 PlayoffsFOKUS won
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs fnatic - Map 1 WinnerFOKUS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.