CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs UNO MILLE - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17e88793a3ab120599930341c326a08b8d62d73395c60ecc3b72bb164fa20270
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yawara Esportsof Yawara Esports, UNO MILLE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Yawara Esports | 52c | 2,402$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.97 | 1,042 | 52.5%547 W · 495 L | +29.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked UNO MILLE | 48c | 1,166$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.66 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked UNO MILLE | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 952 | 45.8%436 W · 516 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked Yawara Esports | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed UNO MILLE | 48c | 940.9$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.18 | 204 | 41.7%85 W · 119 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab27…0c65backed UNO MILLE | 49c | 466.69$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…102abacked Yawara Esports | 53c | 449.77$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.89 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed UNO MILLE | 42c | 359.93$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.56 | 506 | 41.5%210 W · 296 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed Yawara Esports | 55c | 302.92$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.92 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed UNO MILLE | 48c | 270.83$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed UNO MILLE | 48c | 262.7$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.05 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Yawara Esports | 56c | 180.93$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.82 | 5,113 | 37.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L | -268.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed UNO MILLE | 47c | 130$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Yawara Esports | 55c | 117.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…9a6ebacked UNO MILLE | 48c | 97.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Yawara Esports | 52c | 97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Yawara Esports | 67c | 79.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 452 | 43.6%197 W · 255 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a4…5df2backed UNO MILLE | 48c | 53.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…48efbacked Yawara Esports | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e1b2backed Yawara Esports | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Yawara Esports | 53c | 32.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked Yawara Esports | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs UNO MILLE - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs UNO MILLE (BO5) - Odyssey Cup Brazil PlayoffsYawara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs UNO MILLE - Map 1 WinnerYawara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs UNO MILLE - Map 2 WinnerYawara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs UNO MILLE - Map 3 WinnerUNO MILLE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.