CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00fc21e607b60c5a6e77f5212aebf019962e54fce612368053a7b80c5bb1f20d

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: 100 Thievesof Team Nemesis, 100 Thieves
Resolved: May 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $32,668
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $36,237

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,668 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4713…4d21backed 100 Thieves	47c	2,421$1,142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,279.05	5,262	31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L	-381.6wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca5e…4a1cbacked Team Nemesis	58c	1,859$1,079 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,078.77	94	43.6%41 W · 53 L	-6.6wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed Team Nemesis	28c	1,813$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.23	105	60%63 W · 42 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Nemesis	48c	1,038$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.08	5,028	55%2,763 W · 2,265 L	+112.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa113…284ebacked Team Nemesis	45c	1,029$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.23	209	35.4%74 W · 135 L	-21.5wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked 100 Thieves	51c	1,010$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.77	558	43.5%243 W · 315 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8248…c0b2backed Team Nemesis	58c	999.99$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580	207	50.7%105 W · 102 L	-9.9wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Team Nemesis	3c	985.04$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.55	424	27.1%115 W · 309 L	+13.8wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	+10%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Team Nemesis	59c	975.11$577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577.33	377	59.7%225 W · 152 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5b24…ba5cbacked 100 Thieves	41c	970.62$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572.67	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+6.1wins	+0.18per pick	44cpaid	+41.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked 100 Thieves	51c	703.16$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$343.42	2,599	47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L	-30.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves	42c	692.18$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.64	7,892	50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L	+182.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked 100 Thieves	52c	634.45$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304.15	1,591	46.6%741 W · 850 L	+30.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Team Nemesis	47c	633.37$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.84	230	72.6%167 W · 63 L	+27.8wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Team Nemesis	55c	531.35$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.5	1,040	44%458 W · 582 L	-22.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Nemesis	51c	448.76$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.47	3,165	45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L	-74.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed 100 Thieves	15c	443$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375.31	1,277	21.9%280 W · 997 L	-23.9wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked 100 Thieves	22c	442.86$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345.32	371	40.7%151 W · 220 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed 100 Thieves	52c	432.17$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.27	2,608	30.9%807 W · 1,801 L	-103.7wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Nemesis	48c	431.16$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.09	4,038	48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked 100 Thieves	67c	381.64$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.59	2,770	37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L	-139.7wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Team Nemesis	48c	378$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.44	558	45.7%255 W · 303 L	-11.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Nemesis	67c	357.07$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.39	4,897	37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L	-245.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed 100 Thieves	39c	346$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.2	289	43.6%126 W · 163 L	+8.4wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6766…0db2backed 100 Thieves	49c	299.73$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.73	49	59.2%29 W · 20 L	+5.9wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed 100 Thieves	52c	280.31$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.34	1,546	33.8%523 W · 1,023 L	-73.9wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed Team Nemesis	14c	241$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.58	410	50.7%208 W · 202 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team Nemesis	68c	223$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.2	456	46.9%214 W · 242 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1522…70febacked Team Nemesis	42c	200$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	363	46%167 W · 196 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed 100 Thieves	42c	193$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.94	485	43.1%209 W · 276 L	-14.9wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed 100 Thieves	71c	185.17$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.7	644	39.8%256 W · 388 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Team Nemesis	33c	178$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.74	203	55.2%112 W · 91 L	+13.6wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2add…a167backed Team Nemesis	55c	152.05$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.34	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-3.0wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Team Nemesis	50c	151.92$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.92	1,998	53.7%1,073 W · 925 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0e…2becbacked 100 Thieves	42c	151$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.58	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+2.6wins	+0.17per pick	46cpaid	+39.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed Team Nemesis	50c	150.39$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.2	154	53.9%83 W · 71 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Nemesis	54c	149.94$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.45	4,661	43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L	-85.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed 100 Thieves	52c	149.03$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.08	917	43.7%401 W · 516 L	-35.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked Team Nemesis	76c	131.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.94	1,117	68.6%766 W · 351 L	+20.3wins	+0.02per pick	67cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed 100 Thieves	50c	130$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	807	40.3%325 W · 482 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked 100 Thieves	42c	120.55$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.92	150	60.7%91 W · 59 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Team Nemesis	60c	113.33$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	379	49.3%187 W · 192 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Team Nemesis	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	448	39.1%175 W · 273 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked 100 Thieves	71c	100$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	217	41%89 W · 128 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Nemesis	75c	81$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.43	3,415	29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L	-275.1wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Team Nemesis	52c	78.77$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	1,710	52.3%895 W · 815 L	-73.4wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Team Nemesis	17c	67.3$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.56	1,003	55.7%559 W · 444 L	+24.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked 100 Thieves	48c	63.03$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.51	483	19%92 W · 391 L	-65.4wins	-0.14per pick	33cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Team Nemesis	46c	58$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.74	807	41.3%333 W · 474 L	-10.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb00…fda1backed Team Nemesis	42c	55.58$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.14	411	47.7%196 W · 215 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Team Nemesis	45c	53$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.99	5,810	37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L	+78.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked 100 Thieves	42c	47.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.67	318	45.3%144 W · 174 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Team Nemesis	51c	41.03$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.1	401	41.6%167 W · 234 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Team Nemesis	49c	39.22$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	746	53.5%399 W · 347 L	+9.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Team Nemesis	53c	38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.26	2,061	50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L	-18.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Team Nemesis	68c	37.32$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.38	780	43.7%341 W · 439 L	-21.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis	68c	36.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.64	6,466	42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L	-78.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Team Nemesis	34c	33.09$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	300	31.7%95 W · 205 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed 100 Thieves	31c	32.9$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.7	452	40.3%182 W · 270 L	+15.1wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45a7…bc63backed Team Nemesis	80c	31.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	88	47.7%42 W · 46 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed 100 Thieves	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	163	46.6%76 W · 87 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 PlayoffsTeam Nemesis won
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event