CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64519992273f6c82d64661a184ae9642c78e22106f70fa27aa0719d6d0079d88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof ex-RUBY, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98e5…f069backed ex-RUBY | 70c | 6,861$4,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.91 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 37c | 5,163$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.98 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 60c | 3,583$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.8 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ex-RUBY | 42c | 2,462$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.44 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e1…e05cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 1,866$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 1,606$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.97 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed ex-RUBY | 75c | 1,600$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.5 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 30c | 1,466$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.37 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed ex-RUBY | 80c | 1,213$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.74 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked ex-RUBY | 77c | 684.02$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.42 | 226 | 58%131 W · 95 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed ex-RUBY | 48c | 628$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.43 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed ex-RUBY | 39c | 418.15$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.62 | 569 | 38.1%217 W · 352 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 41c | 386.43$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.53 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 39c | 321.75$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked ex-RUBY | 57c | 317.5$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.84 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ex-RUBY | 42c | 270.47$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.72 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 25c | 220$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 498 | 43%214 W · 284 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUBY | 55c | 188.61$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 60c | 185$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 28c | 182.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed ex-RUBY | 48c | 142.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.08 | 380 | 49.5%188 W · 192 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 41c | 133.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 115.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed ex-RUBY | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-RUBY | 57c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 34.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…182abacked ex-RUBY | 76c | 32.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUBY | 46c | 31.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 38c | 29.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 46c | 25.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stageex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs ex-Zero Tenacity (+1.5)ex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.