CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Phantom (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ed7e39a1733bf7590c38b00a3ad01aff5d50adc023ea4031cf6dac0b552aebd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Young Ninjasof Young Ninjas, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Young Ninjas | 44c | 4,937$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,752.42 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Phantom | 64c | 4,000$2,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558.53 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Phantom | 47c | 1,107$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.98 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Phantom | 58c | 1,105$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.38 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Phantom | 18c | 1,045$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.34 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Young Ninjas | 43c | 1,023$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.29 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5667…8ca3backed Phantom | 65c | 997.54$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.97 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Phantom | 49c | 878$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Phantom | 58c | 813.23$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.39 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Phantom | 64c | 800$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.82 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfa…7491backed Phantom | 63c | 775.12$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.12 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Young Ninjas | 45c | 689.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.49 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Young Ninjas | 45c | 609.44$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.24 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Young Ninjas | 41c | 585.71$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.57 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked Phantom | 59c | 500$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 263 | 41.1%108 W · 155 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Young Ninjas | 58c | 493.09$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.45 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4554…8deebacked Young Ninjas | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed Young Ninjas | 47c | 466.48$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.01 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Phantom | 58c | 428.76$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.84 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Young Ninjas | 40c | 425.33$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.44 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Young Ninjas | 21c | 300$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Phantom | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Young Ninjas | 39c | 292.82$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.15 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Phantom | 58c | 271.45$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.44 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Young Ninjas | 40c | 264.81$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.81 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Young Ninjas | 41c | 245.73$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.98 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Young Ninjas | 40c | 241.24$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.89 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Phantom | 59c | 220.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.33 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Phantom | 44c | 219.59$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.36 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Phantom | 50c | 197.52$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Young Ninjas | 43c | 177$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.89 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Phantom | 58c | 173.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed Young Ninjas | 41c | 173$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.07 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed Phantom | 46c | 165.58$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc347…8ee3backed Young Ninjas | 78c | 160$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Young Ninjas | 39c | 154.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.85 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Young Ninjas | 47c | 149.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.49 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked Phantom | 71c | 141.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Phantom | 61c | 127.87$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Phantom | 59c | 125.66$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.38 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Young Ninjas | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Phantom | 54c | 108.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Young Ninjas | 78c | 106.38$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Young Ninjas | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Phantom | 62c | 93.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Phantom | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Young Ninjas | 43c | 89.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…9bacbacked Young Ninjas | 47c | 88.39$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Young Ninjas | 41c | 82.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0943…1d8dbacked Young Ninjas | 27c | 73.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed Young Ninjas | 63c | 69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Young Ninjas | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Phantom | 59c | 62.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Phantom | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Phantom | 60c | 58.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Young Ninjas | 68c | 55.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…dbf7backed Young Ninjas | 39c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Young Ninjas | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Phantom | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom | 46c | 48.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Young Ninjas | 42c | 45.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…44bbbacked Phantom | 49c | 44.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b58…3474backed Young Ninjas | 47c | 42.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…436cbacked Young Ninjas | 80c | 38.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Phantom | 59c | 37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Young Ninjas | 43c | 36.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Phantom | 59c | 34.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffd…08fabacked Young Ninjas | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 254 | 57.5%146 W · 108 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ff…b8debacked Phantom | 57c | 26.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…24d3backed Young Ninjas | 45c | 26.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c5…bf75backed Young Ninjas | 80c | 23.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…be7dbacked Young Ninjas | 73c | 23.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Phantom | 45c | 23.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xba1b…1697backed Phantom | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…d0dfbacked Phantom | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -8.0wins | -0.18per pick | 66cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…c111backed Phantom | 66c | 16.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Phantom (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Phantom - Map 1 WinnerPhantom won
- Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Phantom - Map 2 WinnerYoung Ninjas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.