CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b1a759885ece1459583230eba5bd5a877d7b73f7b12c5561a1768f8fb5cf8aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Young Ninjasof Young Ninjas, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Phantom | 55c | 5,400$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968.03 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Young Ninjas | 49c | 5,109$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.21 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5667…8ca3backed Phantom | 45c | 2,171$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Young Ninjas | 39c | 1,102$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.77 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Phantom | 58c | 1,100$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.01 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Young Ninjas | 53c | 607.26$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.41 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…a3e1backed Young Ninjas | 42c | 501.54$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.29 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Young Ninjas | 33c | 429.53$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.79 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…05bbbacked Phantom | 63c | 287.59$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.08 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Young Ninjas | 63c | 253.78$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.34 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Young Ninjas | 50c | 226.68$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.31 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom | 39c | 212.54$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.55 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…4e3bbacked Young Ninjas | 62c | 210.32$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Young Ninjas | 54c | 185$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Young Ninjas | 55c | 170$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.88 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Young Ninjas | 39c | 155.2$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.1 | 230 | 38.3%88 W · 142 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Young Ninjas | 71c | 139.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Young Ninjas | 49c | 129.52$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Phantom | 56c | 121.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Young Ninjas | 44c | 95.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Young Ninjas | 60c | 94.35$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Young Ninjas | 43c | 86.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Phantom | 57c | 86.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed Young Ninjas | 58c | 84.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Young Ninjas | 44c | 68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3468…e71ebacked Young Ninjas | 53c | 62.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Phantom | 30c | 59.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Young Ninjas | 35c | 58.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed Phantom | 39c | 55.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Young Ninjas | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Young Ninjas | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Young Ninjas | 57c | 31.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…44bbbacked Phantom | 34c | 31.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffc…cfabbacked Phantom | 52c | 24.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Young Ninjas | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Phantom - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Phantom (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group DYoung Ninjas won
- Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Phantom - Map 1 WinnerPhantom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.