CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a425ff829871ea052bccb20f06786589be08d090e5ff0a4714883b94d735996
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Turma do Pagodeof Turma do Pagode, Bounty Hunters Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Turma do Pagode | 62c | 11,572$7,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,395.16 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Turma do Pagode | 63c | 3,639$2,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.31 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 37c | 3,500$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 37c | 1,650$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.5 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 40c | 1,359$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.84 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 38c | 1,000$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.35 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 36c | 708.41$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.53 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 37c | 675.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Turma do Pagode | 62c | 599.86$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.98 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Turma do Pagode | 63c | 552.77$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.69 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 37c | 390$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.3 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 37c | 372.81$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.94 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 38c | 323.61$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.97 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 37c | 254.05$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 37c | 251.34$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 41c | 243.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 40c | 226.38$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.4 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Turma do Pagode | 27c | 189.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.19 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 37c | 189.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 53c | 186.64$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 38c | 183.35$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 37c | 170$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Turma do Pagode | 56c | 157.16$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Turma do Pagode | 64c | 151.63$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Turma do Pagode | 63c | 151.52$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Turma do Pagode | 63c | 136$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Turma do Pagode | 63c | 135.97$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 38c | 126.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 38c | 117.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…3cbcbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Turma do Pagode | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Turma do Pagode | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 20c | 77.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb45…0c68backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611c…a931backed Turma do Pagode | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd0…4303backed Turma do Pagode | 27c | 55.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -13.4wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Turma do Pagode | 28c | 46.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 37c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…a348backed Turma do Pagode | 63c | 45.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…a0edbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 38c | 41.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 42c | 40.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…bd79backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed Turma do Pagode | 63c | 39.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…7f0cbacked Turma do Pagode | 59c | 38.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 45c | 31.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…b2b3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…eeb3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 40c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 288 | 56.6%163 W · 125 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Turma do Pagode | 53c | 26.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…a9e1backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 67c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Turma do Pagode | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.