TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x90ae…bd79

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bohemian Guardians vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Seasonbacked BRUTE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$25.6
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Skillcamp Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+203%+$26.8
LoL: TITANS vs Aeterna Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffsbacked TITANS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
LoL: Maryville University vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Cbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stagebacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Alzon (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stagebacked Alzon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stagebacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Counter-Strike: illwill vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$28.8
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Game Hunters (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO5) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BIG (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
La Bisbal: Caroline Werner vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Caroline Werner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Hailey Baptistebacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Huzhou: Xiaodi You vs Jiajing Lubacked Xiaodi You · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Jiujiang: Alexis Galarneau vs Dane Sweenybacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Madrid Open: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Madrid Open: Laura Samson vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.33
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Sofia Keninbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick68cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$24.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Ningbo Rockets vs. Beijing Royal Fightersbacked Beijing Royal Fighters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$19.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.