Asian League · resolved market
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbe08e90333088754b6376cf040f0abf381f0e63c2e83f5468fad5836f97e5a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 1c | 5,964$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 197 | 65.5%129 W · 68 L | +27.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 27c | 1,750$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.04 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 16c | 1,601$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.59 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 73c | 1,476$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.44 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 15c | 1,412$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.85 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 30c | 804.59$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.8 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 70c | 725.52$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.11 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3341…d7e4backed Yes | 70c | 697.31$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.18 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 74c | 689.07$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.68 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf06…d267backed Yes | 69c | 587.45$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 29c | 451.71$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 3c | 375.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 22c | 374.46$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.21 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 71c | 326.62$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.27 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed No | 30c | 319.68$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 33c | 310.44$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.36 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6b…1db1backed Yes | 70c | 289.2$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.37 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 30c | 265.41$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes | 76c | 259.37$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 30c | 228.41$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 31c | 178.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 38c | 176.74$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a0…108cbacked Yes | 69c | 174.95$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 71c | 166.92$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed No | 30c | 159.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 28c | 156.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2547…7804backed Yes | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0976…8f4ebacked Yes | 66c | 148.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 71c | 138.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 29c | 126.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 39c | 124.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 31c | 88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 34c | 87.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x688c…2482backed Yes | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Yes | 71c | 69.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 37c | 67.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 71c | 66.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 30c | 66.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 20c | 63.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 30c | 62.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x608d…3933backed No | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 70c | 58.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa025…1607backed Yes | 67c | 58.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 69c | 56.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed Yes | 75c | 52.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 29c | 50.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 72c | 49.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 70c | 48.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 70c | 48.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 21c | 46.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Yes | 67c | 44.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 74c | 43.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 69c | 42.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…4515backed Yes | 69c | 42.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8a…23d0backed Yes | 71c | 41.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 37c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 64c | 40.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 31c | 39.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…cdc1backed Yes | 71c | 37.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 76c | 35.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 30c | 34.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Yes | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb698…9b34backed Yes | 75c | 26.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0a…1584backed Yes | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 65c | 23.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 69c | 22.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…f2c6backed Yes | 71c | 22.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 70c | 22.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…bd79backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 59 | 76.3%45 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 72c | 19.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 80c | 17.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 313 | 59.7%187 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Yes | 70c | 16.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…8417backed Yes | 70c | 14.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.