TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
DN SOOPersof Kiwoom DRX, DN SOOPers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$246,606
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$253,541

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,606 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfbf3…b218backed Kiwoom DRX40c64,362$25,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,743.627735.7%99 W · 178 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Kiwoom DRX45c64,020$28,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,551.466437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed DN SOOPers58c50,258$29,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,100.451146.8%239 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Kiwoom DRX39c25,665$10,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,044.3153750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked DN SOOPers62c21,898$13,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,321.1733838.2%129 W · 209 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed DN SOOPers60c20,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,00054353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed DN SOOPers60c20,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,999.991,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Kiwoom DRX43c14,231$6,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,051.3851044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed DN SOOPers63c14,000$8,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20059450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked DN SOOPers59c8,348$4,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,386.4859248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed DN SOOPers61c6,792$4,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660.911,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed DN SOOPers54c4,523$2,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,078.5952538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Kiwoom DRX39c3,800$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.4719239.1%75 W · 117 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed DN SOOPers61c3,431$2,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.6141439.6%164 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked DN SOOPers54c2,711$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.561,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb627…2d13backed Kiwoom DRX66c2,558$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70051552.6%271 W · 244 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Kiwoom DRX38c2,502$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.8644550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed DN SOOPers59c2,139$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.912840.6%52 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed DN SOOPers55c2,035$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.4923832.4%77 W · 161 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed DN SOOPers55c2,027$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.311,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked DN SOOPers60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80083560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed DN SOOPers55c1,854$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.3337641.8%157 W · 219 L-18.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked DN SOOPers55c1,802$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.1434250.6%173 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Kiwoom DRX39c1,800$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70282554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked DN SOOPers32c1,530$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.492,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked DN SOOPers60c1,418$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.3340741.5%169 W · 238 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac42…60d1backed DN SOOPers60c1,359$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.67626.3%20 W · 56 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa5e…1468backed DN SOOPers59c1,356$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.937549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked DN SOOPers38c1,292$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.7225447.6%121 W · 133 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Kiwoom DRX39c1,283$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011753%62 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05df…e268backed DN SOOPers55c1,265$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.2523241.4%96 W · 136 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Kiwoom DRX42c1,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.991,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed DN SOOPers55c1,164$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.6426042.3%110 W · 150 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked DN SOOPers60c1,158$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.28253.7%44 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked DN SOOPers58c1,111$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.260347.9%289 W · 314 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed DN SOOPers39c1,026$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.281947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked DN SOOPers60c920.45$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.4511959.7%71 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked DN SOOPers58c895.93$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.292356.5%13 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed DN SOOPers56c885.56$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.5649847.2%235 W · 263 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7253…5fa2backed DN SOOPers62c857.26$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.1910945%49 W · 60 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed DN SOOPers57c848.55$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.0724835.1%87 W · 161 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked DN SOOPers55c808$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.612352%64 W · 59 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Kiwoom DRX39c748.72$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29237640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked DN SOOPers55c734$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.37160.6%43 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed DN SOOPers54c707.6$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.51,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked DN SOOPers55c624$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.2744743.6%195 W · 252 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a4f…e6ffbacked DN SOOPers55c568.64$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.8915950.9%81 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked DN SOOPers55c551$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.954755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed Kiwoom DRX38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20043640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Kiwoom DRX41c508$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.282,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed DN SOOPers60c501$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.432941%135 W · 194 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed DN SOOPers38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3104346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked DN SOOPers39c499.99$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.9932145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed DN SOOPers55c481.81$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.816245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked DN SOOPers59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16410165.3%66 W · 35 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ba8…d72bbacked Kiwoom DRX39c351.12$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9417659.7%105 W · 71 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18f6…0650backed Kiwoom DRX39c341.79$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.313651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Kiwoom DRX40c323.63$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4514154.6%77 W · 64 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Kiwoom DRX41c308.88$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.6415232.2%49 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Kiwoom DRX62c302.77$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.721,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f11…5d87backed DN SOOPers55c301.16$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.522050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed DN SOOPers55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13510947.7%52 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9fa…4e74backed DN SOOPers62c299.99$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Kiwoom DRX38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011248.2%54 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked DN SOOPers59c252$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.328058.8%47 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x500f…4c28backed Kiwoom DRX40c251.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018849.5%93 W · 95 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked Kiwoom DRX40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10044046.4%204 W · 236 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed DN SOOPers63c239.3$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2486144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked DN SOOPers32c204.02$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.741,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbbb…5693backed DN SOOPers60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804337.2%16 W · 27 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x321d…d0acbacked Kiwoom DRX39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7812462.9%78 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed DN SOOPers60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8057151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked DN SOOPers60c197$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.811450%57 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ac…0e0bbacked DN SOOPers62c196.12$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4817840.4%72 W · 106 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fc4…d48cbacked DN SOOPers61c195.61$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6127540.4%111 W · 164 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c36…08f5backed DN SOOPers61c189.38$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0815635.9%56 W · 100 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked DN SOOPers59c189$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4918560.5%112 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfabc…7178backed DN SOOPers62c184.16$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0319941.7%83 W · 116 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Kiwoom DRX36c179.95$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.781,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Kiwoom DRX41c175$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.371,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed DN SOOPers58c173.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6828652.8%151 W · 135 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed DN SOOPers58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4118752.4%98 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Kiwoom DRX55c163.05$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.311,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed DN SOOPers54c159.25$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2516035%56 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed DN SOOPers61c156.15$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.321,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a35…6fe0backed DN SOOPers60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6033642.3%142 W · 194 L-1.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed DN SOOPers61c149.99$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.567763.4%429 W · 248 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Kiwoom DRX49c148.52$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7712145.5%55 W · 66 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed DN SOOPers56c145.63$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6660849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed DN SOOPers59c142$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2210253.9%55 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7894…7b9dbacked DN SOOPers55c136$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.210253.9%55 W · 47 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec6d…804bbacked Kiwoom DRX38c129.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016647%78 W · 88 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Kiwoom DRX61c129.51$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7952045%234 W · 286 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed DN SOOPers60c128$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.226856.7%152 W · 116 L+1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed DN SOOPers59c126.98$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0618359.6%109 W · 74 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd91…3cc3backed DN SOOPers62c125.25$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8511436.8%42 W · 72 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Kiwoom DRX39c116.89$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2324235.5%86 W · 156 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed DN SOOPers60c114$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.638257.9%221 W · 161 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed DN SOOPers59c111$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5114561.4%89 W · 56 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cd1…9249backed Kiwoom DRX39c109.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.917744.6%79 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.