TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: B8 vs NRG - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof B8, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$720,412

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $720,412 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x69ac…03e9backed B82c95,796$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.924122%9 W · 32 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-50.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked B833c26,667$8,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,817.713,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked B813c22,394$2,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,877.693,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed B82c21,179$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.2311546.1%53 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed NRG44c17,898$7,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,022.6519949.7%99 W · 100 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed NRG42c17,221$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,020.8312649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed B82c12,181$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.6910347.6%49 W · 54 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked B83c11,293$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.745,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed B858c10,777$6,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,272.333043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed B851c9,799$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.9924544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab80…ffc0backed B813c8,680$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1142623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked NRG65c5,915$3,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,048.662,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed B82c5,040$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.436235.5%22 W · 40 L-9.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-37.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed B837c4,758$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.926,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed B859c4,287$2,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,530.9146149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed NRG52c4,203$2,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,025.439248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed B82c4,192$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.148350.6%42 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked B813c4,006$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.197,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked NRG50c3,971$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.821,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked NRG49c3,317$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,678.111,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61fe…0956backed B845c3,285$1,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,491.210663.2%67 W · 39 L+10.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed NRG50c3,239$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.4688746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked B856c3,210$1,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,794.4912352.8%65 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed NRG40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9946949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed B841c2,961$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22320838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed NRG43c2,861$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,630.7253746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed B859c2,640$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.8445058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked NRG42c2,584$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.7532548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed B859c2,564$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.8764552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked B859c2,243$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.9698052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed NRG53c2,234$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.41,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked B820c2,175$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.461,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked NRG63c2,136$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.3224538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cca…6f28backed B861c2,119$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked NRG63c1,792$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.9521939.7%87 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed B849c1,769$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86024346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked B821c1,750$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37061228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3dc…eaa8backed B861c1,628$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.92240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed B859c1,590$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.198050%40 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed NRG39c1,533$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.5975450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed B850c1,505$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7505151%26 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc2…9c0dbacked NRG70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45012637.3%47 W · 79 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed B826c1,486$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.5480744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked NRG76c1,455$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.519258.7%54 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed B819c1,444$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.8924641.9%103 W · 143 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed NRG41c1,383$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.7360853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked NRG42c1,355$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.318049.4%89 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked NRG78c1,289$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.7812465.3%81 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9853…e86abacked B816c1,261$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed B857c1,250$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.634,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…a265backed NRG42c1,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.8518943.9%83 W · 106 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked B847c1,169$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.373,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed B845c1,104$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.2552947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed B841c1,100$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.445455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked NRG51c1,025$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.617148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked B847c1,000$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.8235850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed NRG64c975.93$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.994,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed B812c909.91$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3955738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed NRG41c900$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53146749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed B810c879$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0258961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed NRG40c856.22$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.2224944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed NRG40c835$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.5817644.9%79 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed NRG63c800$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29646345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed NRG63c799.9$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.9611740.2%47 W · 70 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed B825c795.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038835.8%139 W · 249 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked NRG41c759$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.8125651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed B88c724.48$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.512,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked B819c706.93$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-64.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde1f…d634backed NRG43c700$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4005248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed B846c699.99$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32136555.9%204 W · 161 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed B88c699.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked B854c698.04$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.21,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed B817c668$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.651,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed B860c666.67$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009646.9%45 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a1e…8ecabacked NRG41c633.52$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.72055%11 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+61.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed B821c604.34$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2819935.7%71 W · 128 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed NRG41c600$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35416149.1%79 W · 82 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6135…efa0backed B837c600$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd0…c5aebacked B817c597.93$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.27924.3%4 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed B853c584.78$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.9357322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed B814c564.19$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7862350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked B850c561.15$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.5875056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked NRG40c529.99$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.9927947.7%133 W · 146 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed NRG53c517.75$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.3422761.7%140 W · 87 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed B851c516.43$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26453850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed B816c500$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7957358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed B82c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027831.7%88 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed NRG63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18539851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed B837c495.85$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.632,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed B811c480$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.555,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked NRG58c470.02$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.871,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed B817c372.63$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3538131%118 W · 263 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked NRG63c369.84$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.8428443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed B811c369.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4054439.7%216 W · 328 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked B828c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed B854c351.27$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18835344.8%158 W · 195 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f46…cddbbacked NRG40c349.06$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.315350.9%27 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc011…0a62backed B834c346.67$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.4216354%88 W · 75 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed B816c343.04$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5416050%80 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked B861c328.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009550.5%48 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.