CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d737a1e583d26409ddc1dcc1ac1a63ab3aae151969aad8a24a45d1ba2b52d75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof B8, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,158 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked B8 | 35c | 8,588$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked NRG | 66c | 6,591$4,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.07 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed NRG | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed B8 | 0c | 3,724$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…a265backed B8 | 34c | 1,959$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.02 | 189 | 43.9%83 W · 106 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked NRG | 63c | 1,890$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.36 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked B8 | 34c | 1,750$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked NRG | 65c | 1,713$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.4 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed B8 | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed B8 | 34c | 1,161$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.17 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed B8 | 36c | 999.98$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked NRG | 65c | 700$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed B8 | 14c | 621.43$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed B8 | 33c | 589.91$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5664backed B8 | 33c | 577.83$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.13 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked B8 | 13c | 537.83$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed B8 | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed B8 | 24c | 470.78$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed NRG | 65c | 382.7$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.77 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…ed3dbacked NRG | 67c | 371.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.51 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d1…ba29backed NRG | 65c | 362.61$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.54 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked B8 | 36c | 352.76$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.45 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed B8 | 38c | 315.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1118…6f82backed NRG | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864f…ebe6backed NRG | 64c | 310.94$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…8b34backed NRG | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed B8 | 32c | 264.71$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.71 | 241 | 34.4%83 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked B8 | 33c | 221.21$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…8641backed B8 | 34c | 162.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…f351backed NRG | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…b50ebacked B8 | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -7.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed B8 | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed NRG | 63c | 135.14$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d5…c615backed B8 | 34c | 111.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed NRG | 65c | 109.74$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked NRG | 69c | 105.96$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked B8 | 32c | 80.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac1…d5c4backed NRG | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed B8 | 19c | 63.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed NRG | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed B8 | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed B8 | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755c…0854backed B8 | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3262…3e5fbacked NRG | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed NRG | 67c | 48.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked NRG | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed NRG | 63c | 45.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked NRG | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed NRG | 67c | 29.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bf…dc9ebacked NRG | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…b3b6backed NRG | 70c | 17.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group ANRG won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.