TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: B8 vs NRG - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof B8, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$233,506

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,506 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb726…0664backed NRG58c17,222$9,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,261.9812649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked NRG74c15,486$11,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,026.663,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab80…ffc0backed B819c14,416$2,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,730.792623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed B827c9,756$2,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,644.5739248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x499f…ccafbacked B857c7,040$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0006048.3%29 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked NRG43c6,112$2,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,484.110945%49 W · 60 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d72…c091backed B82c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked B829c4,739$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.2421939.7%87 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked B829c4,226$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.711,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed B832c3,846$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.3788746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed B843c3,530$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.0933043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked B828c3,175$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.911,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked B817c2,884$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.713,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed NRG72c2,807$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.0619949.7%99 W · 100 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked B819c2,534$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.691,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e74…5972backed B854c2,506$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.474238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed NRG44c2,500$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4008050%40 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked B824c2,000$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.511,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed B831c1,988$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.761,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed NRG44c1,347$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.682,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed NRG61c1,178$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.5637646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed NRG43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.7911740.2%47 W · 70 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed B862c1,141$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7076836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked B810c1,139$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.927947.7%133 W · 146 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed B81c1,100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1116149.1%79 W · 82 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24eb…75eebacked NRG44c1,096$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.5418043.3%78 W · 102 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked NRG46c1,086$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.6532548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5978…aec4backed B83c1,040$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.222938%87 W · 142 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed B841c1,008$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.781,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked B843c1,000$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.512,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed B830c980$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.136555.9%204 W · 161 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed NRG46c968$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.7222448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked NRG44c899.99$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5044928.6%14 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-43%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed NRG50c877.63$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.624,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NRG63c870.74$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.526,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed B83c800$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.345455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed NRG71c750$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.54,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed B84c700$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3158651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfeb…763ebacked NRG44c681.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8213742.3%58 W · 79 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed B87c672.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e3d…bbfabacked B829c671.49$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.49848%47 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked B838c630.27$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.947,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed B822c600$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13231444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed NRG75c569.48$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.614346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x530c…89f1backed B89c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509250%46 W · 46 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed B855c542.86$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed B854c524.05$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.7217644.9%79 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a09…daf2backed B811c506.84$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.62540%10 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed B858c500$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28839851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked B852c499.99$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.863,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed B813c499.86$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9835344.8%158 W · 195 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf13…ed3dbacked NRG45c484.27$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.198633.7%29 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed B828c476.68$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.1638131%118 W · 263 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa5…05bbbacked B826c468.11$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b5…7b0bbacked B84c459.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.510227.5%28 W · 74 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-39.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked NRG75c434.15$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9428443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked NRG44c419.12$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.711,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked B837c409.74$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1535,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed B848c401.42$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.6853746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed B855c357.08$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.3992152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed B847c340.43$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16052947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed B815c333.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed NRG52c324.98$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9917857.3%102 W · 76 L+27.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+47%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed B849c285.15$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.182,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed B857c280.72$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.0144743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed NRG46c270.21$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2125147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked NRG42c249.96$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.981,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed B85c246.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.262,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed B821c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018342.1%77 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed B837c235.14$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8712552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed NRG46c217.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8337232.5%121 W · 251 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde5a…4db5backed NRG45c214.22$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.226144.3%27 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed B811c200.68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0796543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0394…3ef9backed B86c200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117418.9%14 W · 60 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick14cpaid+41.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed B855c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020744.4%92 W · 115 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked NRG44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11213947.5%66 W · 73 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf376…9356backed B810c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013342.1%56 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked NRG47c192$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5154346.2%251 W · 292 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed B862c190.55$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.580744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked NRG80c189.33$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.675957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed NRG73c183.28$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4922761.7%140 W · 87 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed NRG46c180$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.246749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked B841c172.38$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.32,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed B847c169.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed B848c166.75$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0422952%119 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd18d…768cbacked B830c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011047.3%52 W · 58 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed NRG62c165$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.74367.4%29 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked NRG49c159.72$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.775,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f46…cddbbacked B856c150.96$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.135350.9%27 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed B811c146.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.262,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed B842c143.48$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609326.9%25 W · 68 L-10.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf99e…bde6backed NRG44c140$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.658762.2%365 W · 222 L+20.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58ea…538dbacked NRG73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9920549.8%102 W · 103 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed B837c135.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060358.5%353 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a75…fc33backed B847c127.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604940.8%20 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a12…ba9cbacked B814c120$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.613324.2%8 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed B831c116.86$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.321956.2%123 W · 96 L+14.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed B851c116.83$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5824339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf2…0f0dbacked B836c109.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405651.8%29 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed NRG46c109.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1314439.6%57 W · 87 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.