CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa103a321e2e8cdd4ecafa39bb24f62470daef69bfe54e41ee4c70b74c4833f85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,575 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 5c | 20,669$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.32 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9a…dfb8backed Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a40…700fbacked Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…4605backed Under | 50c | 4,577$2,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Under | 51c | 2,237$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.93 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 1,753$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.9 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 75c | 1,736$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.22 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 24c | 1,552$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.32 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 49c | 1,493$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.32 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…b4a7backed Under | 49c | 1,442$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Over | 61c | 1,005$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.44 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 241 | 34.4%83 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 46c | 555.4$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.97 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 44c | 500$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.75 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 4c | 431.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…1495backed Over | 51c | 352.62$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 50c | 340$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…ed3dbacked Under | 50c | 309.2$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.58 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Over | 6c | 299.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 276.48$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.25 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 49c | 252.28$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.66 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f2…8209backed Over | 50c | 243.1$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 15c | 234.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Under | 77c | 224.71$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 16c | 206.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…54c2backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…79a0backed Over | 50c | 198.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…12d2backed Over | 50c | 198.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…7287backed Over | 51c | 196.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e91…6c3abacked Over | 50c | 176$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed Over | 61c | 171.49$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.97 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 23c | 170.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 13c | 169.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 46c | 159.26$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 49c | 153.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.23 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…3cb2backed Over | 51c | 146.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 16c | 132.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…5493backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 21c | 85.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…2ddbbacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Under | 52c | 78.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 227 | 57.3%130 W · 97 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x285d…ae8abacked Under | 51c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7342…9197backed Over | 51c | 77.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.25per pick | 57cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba4b…96c9backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…c258backed Over | 48c | 73.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 71c | 67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Under | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdca…3e35backed Over | 52c | 62.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc535…b0e7backed Under | 51c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…acb3backed Over | 50c | 60.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Under | 51c | 59.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Under | 65c | 56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 43c | 55.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e02…e821backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4d…259bbacked Under | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…764fbacked Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68fa…b21bbacked Over | 44c | 47.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 24c | 45.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Under | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…0413backed Under | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e7…d7a8backed Over | 50c | 42.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb623…2b85backed Under | 51c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…151cbacked Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bf…dc9ebacked Under | 52c | 36.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…f41fbacked Over | 48c | 35.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…fb6cbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Under | 42c | 25.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 325 | 61.2%199 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Over | 60c | 23.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…9f19backed Over | 51c | 20.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…4610backed Under | 72c | 13.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group ANRG won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
- Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)NRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.