Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Liquid vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9d263fc2342ba842696f97dc025c3e45bfcfc96789ac66d801d6f3172643d05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Disguised
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Disguised | 19c | 13,226$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468.58 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Disguised | 21c | 10,533$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,161.53 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed Disguised | 18c | 10,452$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.03 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Liquid | 77c | 7,709$5,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.09 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Team Liquid | 79c | 4,745$3,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.01 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Disguised | 29c | 4,341$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Disguised | 29c | 4,105$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.9 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Disguised | 18c | 4,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Disguised | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Liquid | 74c | 2,658$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.41 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Disguised | 17c | 2,510$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.32 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 80c | 2,499$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.52 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Disguised | 19c | 2,221$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.58 | 761 | 42%320 W · 441 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked Disguised | 7c | 2,190$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.83 | 675 | 53.5%361 W · 314 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Disguised | 22c | 2,133$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.48 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Liquid | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Liquid | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Disguised | 11c | 1,845$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.39 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Team Liquid | 75c | 1,812$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.97 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Disguised | 13c | 1,812$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Disguised | 19c | 1,770$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.27 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Disguised | 27c | 1,276$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Team Liquid | 80c | 1,223$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.64 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 1,130$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.75 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Disguised | 19c | 1,051$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.11 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Team Liquid | 72c | 1,008$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.27 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Disguised | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 1,000$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.46 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Disguised | 19c | 929.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.7 | 360 | 40.6%146 W · 214 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…4ce1backed Disguised | 15c | 699.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 216 | 22.7%49 W · 167 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Disguised | 32c | 699$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.12 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Team Liquid | 77c | 652.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.89 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 617$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.78 | 189 | 61.4%116 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Liquid | 74c | 615.76$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.53 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…2f34backed Disguised | 19c | 580.53$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 371 | 61.7%229 W · 142 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbc…dcdbbacked Disguised | 21c | 547.62$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…e497backed Disguised | 26c | 525.12$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Disguised | 17c | 515.78$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.11 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Disguised | 20c | 510.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 504.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.56 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Disguised | 32c | 500$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.33 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…a844backed Disguised | 15c | 496.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.12 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Disguised | 21c | 486.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Team Liquid | 80c | 480.43$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.08 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Disguised | 27c | 473.03$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.96 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Disguised | 22c | 460.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Disguised | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Team Liquid | 73c | 400$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 126 | 61.9%78 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Disguised | 13c | 391$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 181 | 16%29 W · 152 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Team Liquid | 78c | 384.13$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.88 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Disguised | 26c | 347.46$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.03 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid | 76c | 331.98$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Disguised | 10c | 310.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 331 | 43.8%145 W · 186 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Disguised | 20c | 305.77$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 299.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 1,009 | 49.2%496 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Disguised | 24c | 295.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Disguised | 29c | 287$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 558 | 44.6%249 W · 309 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Disguised | 16c | 282.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Disguised | 30c | 278.19$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 419 | 45.1%189 W · 230 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Team Liquid | 75c | 262.46$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.46 | 489 | 51.5%252 W · 237 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 255.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 710 | 57%405 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…ff7dbacked Disguised | 21c | 250$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 230 | 23%53 W · 177 L | -19.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Liquid | 77c | 245$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7de…5f66backed Disguised | 19c | 238.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Disguised | 31c | 235.12$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Disguised | 22c | 230.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 414 | 39.6%164 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Disguised | 13c | 219$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Disguised | 14c | 214$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…835dbacked Disguised | 22c | 212.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Disguised | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Team Liquid | 67c | 199.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Disguised | 18c | 193.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Team Liquid | 71c | 192.03$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Disguised | 18c | 187.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Disguised | 20c | 180$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Team Liquid | 80c | 180$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Disguised | 22c | 175.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Team Liquid | 79c | 173.35$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…d9febacked Disguised | 20c | 172.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Disguised | 22c | 172.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 64c | 172.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Disguised | 24c | 162.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Disguised | 22c | 160.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Disguised | 24c | 159$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…a754backed Disguised | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 353 | 23.2%82 W · 271 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Team Liquid | 64c | 157.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 258 | 53.5%138 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Disguised | 26c | 152.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 479 | 33.6%161 W · 318 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Disguised | 33c | 140$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Disguised | 20c | 133$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Disguised | 19c | 130$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 324 | 47.5%154 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…bebdbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 434 | 53.5%232 W · 202 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…070fbacked Disguised | 25c | 125.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Disguised | 13c | 125.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1b…67b1backed Disguised | 15c | 112$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Disguised | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Disguised | 26c | 109$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…dacfbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 105.79$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 289 | 65.1%188 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0f…0dcabacked Disguised | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Disguised | 26c | 105$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x217a…5dfabacked Team Liquid | 76c | 97.37$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 470 | 57.7%271 W · 199 L | -27.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Disguised - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Disguised - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.