Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Liquid vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd808732b72f9a0cb5f6d070db1045ceb4fe6a4f7940c6bb5fa88f11349c8b7c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Disguised
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,746
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,746 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Disguised | 22c | 15,328$3,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,403.78 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed Disguised | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Liquid | 78c | 4,768$3,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.69 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Disguised | 18c | 4,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Disguised | 23c | 3,993$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.66 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Liquid | 77c | 3,945$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.66 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Disguised | 22c | 3,536$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.24 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Disguised | 9c | 3,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.65 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Disguised | 17c | 3,007$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.38 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 75c | 2,513$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.11 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Liquid | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Disguised | 34c | 1,899$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.74 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 1,275$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.45 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Liquid | 77c | 1,256$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.88 | 761 | 42%320 W · 441 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 1,250$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Disguised | 10c | 1,177$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.69 | 414 | 39.6%164 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…4ce1backed Disguised | 19c | 1,100$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 216 | 22.7%49 W · 167 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 77c | 1,000$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.37 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…3d79backed Disguised | 8c | 999.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…378ebacked Disguised | 35c | 998.28$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.65 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Disguised | 22c | 910$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Liquid | 74c | 888.02$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.67 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec0…5ff3backed Disguised | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Liquid | 77c | 725.99$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.98 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Team Liquid | 80c | 700$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid | 77c | 674.4$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.19 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…55dfbacked Disguised | 27c | 635.36$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 433 | 58.2%252 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Disguised | 10c | 612.12$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 599.98$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Disguised | 21c | 580.63$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.43 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Team Liquid | 76c | 504.12$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…ff7dbacked Disguised | 12c | 455$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 230 | 23%53 W · 177 L | -19.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Team Liquid | 80c | 396.04$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.33 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid | 80c | 385.85$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.17 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Disguised | 33c | 376.49$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.38 | 479 | 33.6%161 W · 318 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Disguised | 22c | 352$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.1 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Disguised | 27c | 341.49$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.48 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Team Liquid | 78c | 308.71$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.93 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe37a…45dfbacked Disguised | 20c | 301.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…4b3bbacked Disguised | 24c | 300.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.11 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Disguised | 24c | 291.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Team Liquid | 75c | 280$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Disguised | 22c | 272.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Team Liquid | 68c | 260.91$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Team Liquid | 73c | 255.03$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.55 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…571ebacked Disguised | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Disguised | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Liquid | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Disguised | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Disguised | 12c | 249.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 218.11$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Disguised | 26c | 213$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 202$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,009 | 49.2%496 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Disguised | 21c | 199.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 324 | 47.5%154 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…a844backed Disguised | 22c | 185.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…835dbacked Disguised | 22c | 183.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Liquid | 77c | 177.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Disguised | 26c | 167.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7de…5f66backed Disguised | 20c | 165$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0817…b071backed Disguised | 23c | 143.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Team Liquid | 77c | 137.66$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Disguised | 18c | 134.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Team Liquid | 80c | 125.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 349 | 60.7%212 W · 137 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Disguised | 27c | 125.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 369 | 46.1%170 W · 199 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Team Liquid | 66c | 123.5$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 320 | 36.9%118 W · 202 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Team Liquid | 60c | 121.67$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Disguised | 16c | 120.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 495 | 14.3%71 W · 424 L | -70.5wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 675 | 53.5%361 W · 314 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Disguised | 41c | 110.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Disguised | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Disguised | 21c | 109.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Liquid | 79c | 103.03$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b60…5c4ebacked Disguised | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Disguised | 35c | 97.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…ce9ebacked Disguised | 44c | 95.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 94.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0f…0dcabacked Disguised | 21c | 94.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…bddfbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 89.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Team Liquid | 80c | 88.93$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 211 | 34.6%73 W · 138 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Team Liquid | 76c | 88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Team Liquid | 79c | 87.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Team Liquid | 72c | 87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 337 | 37.7%127 W · 210 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Liquid | 65c | 84.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Team Liquid | 78c | 83.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Disguised | 21c | 82.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Disguised | 24c | 81.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Disguised | 23c | 78.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Disguised | 20c | 74.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 398 | 32.7%130 W · 268 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb78a…61c4backed Team Liquid | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 191 | 61.3%117 W · 74 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Disguised | 18c | 68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…d6fcbacked Disguised | 45c | 67.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 158 | 71.5%113 W · 45 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912d…794fbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 66.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 58.54$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e98…1047backed Disguised | 35c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Team Liquid | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 393 | 52.4%206 W · 187 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…789abacked Team Liquid | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x217a…5dfabacked Disguised | 39c | 45.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 470 | 57.7%271 W · 199 L | -27.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Team Liquid | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 798 | 64.3%513 W · 285 L | +32.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Team Liquid | 74c | 44.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Disguised - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Disguised - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.