TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Team Liquid vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Disguised
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,746
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,298

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,746 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x01e6…e7e0backed Disguised22c15,328$3,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,403.7848149.7%239 W · 242 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d4d…8525backed Disguised20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Team Liquid78c4,768$3,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.691650%8 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Disguised18c4,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Disguised23c3,993$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.661,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Liquid77c3,945$3,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.661,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Disguised22c3,536$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.243,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Disguised9c3,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.6567552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Disguised17c3,007$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.3837641.8%157 W · 219 L-18.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid75c2,513$1,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.111,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Team Liquid78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44096250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Disguised34c1,899$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.7425236.9%93 W · 159 L+1.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid77c1,275$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.4595041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Liquid77c1,256$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.8876142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid76c1,250$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Disguised10c1,177$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6941439.6%164 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf301…4ce1backed Disguised19c1,100$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20921622.7%49 W · 167 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid77c1,000$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.371,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x681b…3d79backed Disguised8c999.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8017749.7%88 W · 89 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44ca…378ebacked Disguised35c998.28$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.653770.3%26 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Disguised22c910$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.21,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Liquid74c888.02$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.672,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec0…5ff3backed Disguised24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Liquid77c725.99$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.982,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Team Liquid80c700$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid77c674.4$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.1985442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53a5…55dfbacked Disguised27c635.36$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.243358.2%252 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Disguised10c612.12$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.071,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Team Liquid78c599.98$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1321,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca4e…f97ebacked Disguised21c580.63$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.431216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Team Liquid76c504.12$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.991,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c6…ff7dbacked Disguised12c455$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5523023%53 W · 177 L-19.5wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Team Liquid80c396.04$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.339935.4%35 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid80c385.85$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.173,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Disguised33c376.49$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3847933.6%161 W · 318 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Disguised22c352$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.174250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Disguised27c341.49$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.481,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Team Liquid78c308.71$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.931,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe37a…45dfbacked Disguised20c301.1$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608938.2%34 W · 55 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9da2…4b3bbacked Disguised24c300.46$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.113943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Disguised24c291.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Team Liquid75c280$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7056650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Disguised22c272.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6080832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Team Liquid68c260.91$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.751,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Team Liquid73c255.03$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5545618.9%86 W · 370 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3237…571ebacked Disguised20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503122.6%7 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Disguised21c250$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.52,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Team Liquid78c250$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Disguised21c250$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.548652.1%253 W · 233 L+2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Disguised12c249.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.711,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Liquid66c218.11$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.142,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Disguised26c213$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.851,63846.7%765 W · 873 L-26.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Liquid72c202$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.851,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked Team Liquid67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked Disguised21c199.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4232447.5%154 W · 170 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aa1…a844backed Disguised22c185.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020238.6%78 W · 124 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…835dbacked Disguised22c183.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-55.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Liquid77c177.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.941,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Disguised26c167.65$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3736647.3%173 W · 193 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7de…5f66backed Disguised20c165$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0817…b071backed Disguised23c143.48$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334214.3%6 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick17cpaid+22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ab…20e9backed Team Liquid77c137.66$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.665448.1%26 W · 28 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-26.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Disguised18c134.3$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.221,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed Team Liquid80c125.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6134960.7%212 W · 137 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Disguised27c125.13$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7136946.1%170 W · 199 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Team Liquid66c123.5$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5332036.9%118 W · 202 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed Team Liquid60c121.67$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6780150.7%406 W · 395 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Disguised16c120.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7149514.3%71 W · 424 L-70.5wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-50.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked Team Liquid79c120$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.467553.5%361 W · 314 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Disguised41c110.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5135431.1%110 W · 244 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Disguised20c110$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Disguised21c109.78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3975150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Team Liquid79c103.03$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.641,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b60…5c4ebacked Disguised11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120542.9%88 W · 117 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Disguised35c97.69$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.152,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8a4…ce9ebacked Disguised44c95.86$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.362065%13 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Team Liquid79c94.67$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6719759.4%117 W · 80 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0f…0dcabacked Disguised21c94.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb6…bddfbacked Team Liquid78c89.74$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.742050%10 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed Team Liquid80c88.93$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7921134.6%73 W · 138 L-16.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Team Liquid76c88$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1239056.4%220 W · 170 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Team Liquid79c87.75$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.291,27057%724 W · 546 L+45.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Team Liquid72c87$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4933737.7%127 W · 210 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Liquid65c84.43$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.831,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed Team Liquid78c83.6$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.76944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Disguised21c82.93$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.72,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Disguised24c81.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1673237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked Disguised23c78.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.412466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f8b…a0cabacked Disguised20c74.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1539832.7%130 W · 268 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb78a…61c4backed Team Liquid78c70$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.419161.3%117 W · 74 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Disguised18c68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1410748.6%52 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…d6fcbacked Disguised45c67.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015871.5%113 W · 45 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x912d…794fbacked Team Liquid79c66.37$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.076241.9%26 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Liquid79c58.54$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.292,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e98…1047backed Disguised35c51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.63650%18 W · 18 L-5.5wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-21.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xedab…8926backed Team Liquid74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1339352.4%206 W · 187 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3092…789abacked Team Liquid78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119761.9%60 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x217a…5dfabacked Disguised39c45.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1847057.7%271 W · 199 L-27.3wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Team Liquid78c44.87$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8779864.3%513 W · 285 L+32.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Team Liquid74c44.11$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6750549.3%249 W · 256 L+2.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.