TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8bb7…9185

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT3348.5%16 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.6
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$82.34
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$84.48
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.15
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.94
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$188
Suns vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.17
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.24
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$89.01
Clippers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Kings vs. Hawksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
Rockets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.46
Kings vs. Magicbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.68
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$152
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.56
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$97.28
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$90.45
76ers vs. Jazzbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$128.7
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.72
Bucks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$93.84
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
Trail Blazers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.35
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$86.01
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$91.8
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.6
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-59.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.7
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.4
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.7
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$207
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.3
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.6
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.8
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$162
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$77.39
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.28
Devils vs. Bruinsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.49
Sabres vs. Blackhawksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$122.49
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$81.76
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$72.61
Utah vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.6
All 7 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+59.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+46.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+42.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Mexico Lobos vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$84.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+156.7%+$29.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+58.7%+$66.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.