TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Stocks · resolved market

Will Google (GOOGL) hit $345 before 2026??

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,132
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,741

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,132 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Stocks
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes2c3,045$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.911225%3 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick6cpaid+129.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8cb4…b997backed Yes33c1,827$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.6299038%376 W · 614 L+2.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x969f…4d55backed No66c1,391$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.781,10643.9%486 W · 620 L+27.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x788b…e13ebacked No78c1,280$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75fd…85dbbacked Yes1c1,244$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed No66c1,034$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.577332.9%24 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x038f…4535backed Yes39c800$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes67c711$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.1181240.3%327 W · 485 L+37.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8330…b88fbacked Yes13c657.79$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.61933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes5c623.72$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.041,4438.8%127 W · 1,316 L-53.1wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-59.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fc6…b817backed Yes15c621.5$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e01…2c8abacked No67c581.68$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No71c522.66$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.957848.7%38 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5531…c763backed Yes31c506.76$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x778c…f3afbacked Yes62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb01…02e5backed No74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13023253.4%124 W · 108 L+18.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc21e…0215backed Yes32c474.39$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.97034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No67c465$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.726237%97 W · 165 L-11.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3923…c9b3backed Yes33c426.97$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c5…016abacked Yes26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12da…d12dbacked No67c399.99$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1322100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74b6…41d8backed No69c368.95$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No38c327.23$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.1719934.2%68 W · 131 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e73…d43fbacked Yes65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed No57c299.99$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf030…54c9backed No56c299.99$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes31c267.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8221820.2%44 W · 174 L-22.2wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-54.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7bdd…a74dbacked Yes28c237.11$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.430%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ee…2f52backed Yes43c225.7$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82e3…2151backed Yes45c221.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72ab…1a3ebacked No67c201.65$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.834452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked No78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd00…4fc0backed Yes45c194.26$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda95…e997backed No52c191.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5567…aeedbacked No49c190.62$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985722.8%13 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No54c171.57$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.21822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x763d…d0f2backed No59c168.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No62c164.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.743838.8%170 W · 268 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ab…144dbacked Yes44c150.72$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a03…c37ebacked No69c149.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb120…f2ffbacked No61c139$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60f0…1a38backed No69c138.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b29…1f46backed Yes15c136.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203915.4%6 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-66%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9230…63b2backed Yes46c127.73$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.19633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-46%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes24c126.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.29124.2%22 W · 69 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbde6…6ce1backed Yes33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe728…ee58backed Yes23c117.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.572661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fc9…15f9backed Yes42c107.04$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8420…6183backed Yes34c105.36$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4440%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x490a…db32backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-58.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabe5…b266backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Yes45c98.68$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.531145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+294.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes32c97.14$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.08540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes34c80.44$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0410749.5%53 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf160…a3d3backed Yes28c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf156…4dc3backed Yes63c79.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…7db3backed Yes47c79.57$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.41250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bb9…1f8fbacked Yes65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x791e…7e22backed Yes53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc81f…f627backed No69c74$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+67.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ee8…3352backed No71c73.24$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No49c68.05$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6729323.2%68 W · 225 L-31.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-44.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked No49c65.4$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.41952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fdb…7547backed Yes31c65.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Yes33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe204…cfb5backed No67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+108%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes40c56.12$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4516949.1%83 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c09…df0bbacked Yes45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf03…3f1dbacked Yes33c53.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3328…ea4cbacked Yes56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889d…2a06backed No59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5874…05f7backed No66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ddd…372dbacked Yes48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x154b…4b90backed No58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick45cpaid+137.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59db…1d13backed No69c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.51593.3%14 W · 1 L+4.9wins+0.33per pick60cpaid+56.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe8c8…b33bbacked Yes34c44.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd395…693abacked No48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba0…64fabacked No68c41.03$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff7c…b233backed Yes53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.286631.8%21 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No70c39.58$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.73342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6d8…ebe1backed Yes52c38.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6d5…f7d4backed Yes53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ff…9817backed No80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5850%4 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9edb…6971backed Yes55c36.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cdd…46fbbacked No78c36.65$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.061145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes44c34.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdea…c050backed No60c33.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.532100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2a6…d45dbacked No48c32.35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed86…092ebacked No76c32.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked No69c31.82$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.875844.8%26 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc4…7559backed No54c31.63$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d9…b036backed Yes49c30.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0ec…2ec6backed Yes46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeecc…ef84backed Yes50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5216…2290backed No60c29.52$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa99e…62b1backed No71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd954…6818backed Yes58c28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9099…8491backed No55c27.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.354443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa7…f6b0backed Yes43c25.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe810…aa56backed Yes44c25.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.