Stocks · resolved market
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $285 before 2026??
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x776d00d15bdb013f1e0e189787aca8ae388f1a6e0a357b54befb71b06002bf94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 79c | 660.41$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.72 | 565 | 48.7%275 W · 290 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 26c | 659.8$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.37 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 609.43$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked Yes | 24c | 476.84$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 24c | 434.02$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0e…46e7backed Yes | 15c | 410.68$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4128…ec06backed No | 77c | 384.18$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb2…79e2backed No | 42c | 286$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.88 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a91…e18dbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…ee58backed Yes | 27c | 181.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b84…dd54backed No | 80c | 125.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 53c | 123.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 438 | 38.8%170 W · 268 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…57e5backed No | 43c | 110$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 11c | 100.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +294.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…e626backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +5.1wins | +0.39per pick | 53cpaid | +196.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 99.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 40c | 81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 293 | 23.2%68 W · 225 L | -31.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 14c | 76.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed No | 77c | 75.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…a6adbacked No | 76c | 61.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…17bebacked No | 77c | 52.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…8e0abacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fd…bd30backed Yes | 28c | 42.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 29c | 40.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8f…d61bbacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…4d55backed No | 68c | 25.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 1,111 | 43.7%486 W · 625 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google (GOOGL) hit $285 before 2026??this page
- Will Google (GOOGL) hit $230 before 2026??No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) hit $250 before 2026??No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) hit $260 before 2026??No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) hit $275 before 2026??No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) hit $290 before 2026??No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) hit $305 before 2026??Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) hit $320 before 2026??Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) hit $345 before 2026??No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) hit $355 before 2026??No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) hit $375 before 2026??No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.