Asian League · resolved market
NEOM SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x301af8ae3e3341bf68d8222c5b1b3788f24b8a55d6d0fa109b66f9ea51b093ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 1,253$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.84 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 40c | 841.55$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.62 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…d211backed Under | 46c | 741.79$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Under | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 40c | 595.92$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.57 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 56c | 399.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.99 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 56c | 303.57$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 59c | 178.28$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 55c | 175.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 42c | 132.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.55 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 126.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.84 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 46c | 108.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 106.21$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 57c | 103.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 42c | 96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 55c | 89.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…8a93backed Over | 55c | 74.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…dd29backed Over | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 68.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 28c | 64.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 45c | 57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 42c | 55.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 43.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…1094backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Under | 51c | 33.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 44c | 30.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Under | 48c | 28.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Over | 47c | 27.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Over | 55c | 27.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 55c | 18.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEOM SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- NEOM SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.