Asian League · resolved market
NEOM SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa54fe659b83fb1cca26ada92cc6cc9d776ca48505c90451feac15eace169fa55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 7c | 4,223$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.58 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 45c | 1,420$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 816.6$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.03 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 80c | 572$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.6 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Over | 79c | 551.4$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 77c | 300.5$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.39 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf034…d5a8backed Under | 41c | 223.59$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 20c | 201.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.28 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 25c | 185.42$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.03 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 76c | 180$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.4 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 70c | 170.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.75 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 50c | 154.3$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 147.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.24 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…ea33backed Over | 56c | 142.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 21c | 142.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Under | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 21c | 142.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.55 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 77c | 102.6$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 66c | 90$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 56c | 87.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Under | 62c | 82.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 19c | 81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.61 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 19c | 69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 78c | 57.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 50c | 56.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Under | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 79c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Over | 56c | 39.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…fa34backed Over | 60c | 33.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x492f…bc51backed Over | 79c | 24.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Over | 50c | 22.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked Over | 56c | 18.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEOM SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- NEOM SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.