Australian A League · resolved market
Sydney FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x966fd7885cc0fd3f9abd4cfa6dc9b7495bf508d39291a6acb617c4c2afc2bfa7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 2,067$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.07 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 71c | 998.52$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.03 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Over | 69c | 940.9$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 31c | 903.4$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.86 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +19.0wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 655.6$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.14 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 18c | 631.87$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.84 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 62c | 536$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.32 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 18c | 533.69$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.42 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +13.1wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 71+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 75c | 509.97$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.49 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 503.66$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.33 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Over | 74c | 388.94$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 57c | 315.79$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 7c | 295.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 37c | 268.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.87 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd72…cc45backed Over | 18c | 238.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 42c | 238.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.21 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 19c | 220$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Over | 74c | 185$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 47c | 155.43$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.43 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 26c | 149.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 27c | 137.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 73c | 137.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49db…f75bbacked Under | 78c | 129$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…ae76backed Under | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Under | 24c | 72.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 57c | 68.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 31c | 63.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 63.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 28c | 42.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf6…c75bbacked Over | 30c | 39.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…568abacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Over | 74c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked Over | 74c | 26.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…fb4cbacked Over | 74c | 25.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Over | 68c | 21.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…1094backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6925…1b30backed Under | 63c | 17.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab4…676fbacked Under | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Over | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sydney FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Sydney FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sydney FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sydney FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sydney FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.